Kukula kwa Vietnam Kuchedwa Kufikira 6.2%; Kumanga, Tourism Slump

Chuma cha Vietnam chidakula pang'onopang'ono kuyambira 1999 pomwe chiwongola dzanja chokwera komanso zoletsa kubwereketsa koyambirira kwa chaka chino zidachepetsa ntchito yomanga komanso kugwa kwachuma padziko lonse lapansi kuwononga zokopa alendo.

Chuma cha Vietnam chidakula pang'onopang'ono kuyambira 1999 pomwe chiwongola dzanja chokwera komanso zoletsa kubwereketsa koyambirira kwa chaka chino zidachepetsa ntchito yomanga komanso kugwa kwachuma padziko lonse lapansi kuwononga zokopa alendo.

Zogulitsa zapakhomo m'dziko la Southeast Asia zidakula ndi 6.2 peresenti chaka chino, malinga ndi General Statistics Office ku Hanoi, kuchepa kuchoka pa 8.5 peresenti mu 2007. kuposa 6.7 peresenti.

Kuwotcha kwachuma koyambako kudapangitsa kuti boma la Vietnam liletse ngongole, kuletsa kukula kwa katundu komwe kudapangitsa kuti ntchito yomanga ichuluke. Kukhudzika kwachuma padziko lonse lapansi kudzasokoneza kufunikira kukulepheretsa makampani akumaloko kutenga ngongole zatsopano ngakhale chiwongola dzanja chikutsika, kuwopseza kupititsa patsogolo chuma cha Vietnam mu 2009.

"Izi ndi zotsatira zolimba kuposa momwe ndikadayembekezera poganizira zachuma padziko lonse lapansi, koma Vietnam sinamvebe kugwa kwapadziko lonse," atero a Sherman Chan, katswiri wazachuma waku Sydney, Australia ku Moody's Economy.com. . "Theka loyamba la 2009 lidzakhala nthawi yovuta kwambiri."

Kukula kwa mafakitale ndi ntchito yomanga, yomwe inali ndi 40 peresenti ya chuma cha Vietnamese, idatsika mpaka 6.3 peresenti mu 2008 kuchokera ku 10.6 peresenti mu 2007, General Statistics Office inati. Gawo laling'ono lomwe limaphatikizapo kumanga kokha linakula ndi 0.02 peresenti kuchokera chaka chapitacho.

"Mu theka loyamba ntchito yonse yomangamanga inali ikukula, ndipo sitinathe kupanga zitsulo mofulumira kuti tigulitse," anatero Alan Young, mkulu wa opaleshoni ya Vietnam Industrial Investments Ltd. Zoyipa kwambiri, tikuwona 2009 ngati chaka chopulumuka. "

Kubwereka Kozizira

Kukula kwa mautumiki, komwe kunatenga 38 peresenti ya ndalama zonse zapakhomo, kunatsika kufika pa 7.2 peresenti kuchoka pa 8.7 peresenti. Ntchito zachuma zidakula 6.6 peresenti kuchokera chaka chapitacho.

"Mabanki akhwimitsa ziyeneretso zobwereketsa, ndipo kubwereketsa kwamakampani kwatsika mogwirizana ndi chiyembekezo chandalama chomwe chatsala pang'ono kutha," oyang'anira ndalama Indochina Capital Advisors Ltd. adatero m'makalata mwezi uno.

Ntchito zinakhudzidwanso ndi kukula kwaulesi kwa mafakitale okhudzana ndi zokopa alendo, pomwe a General Statistics Office inanena mu lipoti lina kuti chiwerengero cha alendo ochokera kumayiko ena obwera ku Vietnam chinakwera ndi 0.6 peresenti mu 2008.

Ulimi, nkhalango ndi usodzi, zomwe zidatenga 22 peresenti ya chuma, zidakula pamlingo wa 3.8%, kuchokera ku 3.4% mu 2007.

2009 Cholinga cha Kukula

Boma la Vietnam likufuna kuti chuma chikwere ndi 6.5 peresenti chaka chamawa, ndipo likuganiza za ndondomeko ya 100 trilioni-dong ($ 5.7 biliyoni) yolimbikitsa anthu ambiri, malinga ndi nkhani ya VietnamNet ya December 17 ndipo inaikidwa pa webusaiti ya Unduna wa Zachuma m'dzikolo.

Bungwe la International Monetary Fund likulosera kukula kwa 5 peresenti ndipo CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets ikuneneratu kukula kwa 3.5 peresenti ku Vietnam mu 2009.

Njira ya Vietnam yofunafuna "kukula kulikonse" ndi yowopsa ndi kuchepa kwa akaunti yamakono yomwe ingathe kufika pa 13 peresenti ya ndalama zapakhomo chaka chino, Anthony Nafte, katswiri wa zachuma ku CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets, analemba m'makalata mwezi uno.

"Njira yokhayo yomwe ndondomekoyi ingapambane ndi ngati ndalama zazikulu zakunja zakunja kwazaka zaposachedwa zikadakhala zokhazikika," adatero Nafte. "Koma izi zikhala zovuta m'malo omwe akusowa ndalama zakunja komanso kudana ndi chiwopsezo chachikulu."
ndipo.

ZOMWE MUNGACHITE PA NKHANIYI:

  • Vietnam's strategy of pursuing “growth at all costs” is risky with a current-account deficit that may have reached 13 percent of gross domestic product this year, Anthony Nafte, an economist at CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets, wrote in a note this month.
  • “This is a more resilient result than I would have expected considering the global economy, but Vietnam still hasn't felt the full impact of the global downturn yet,” said Sherman Chan, a Sydney, Australia-based economist at Moody's Economy.
  • Services were also affected by sluggish growth in tourism- related industries, with the General Statistics Office saying in a separate report that the number of international visitors to Vietnam rose 0.

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