Lipoti limalimbikitsa mfundo zophatikizira, zotakata komanso zosauka zothetsera kusalingana ndikuchepetsa mitengo ya umphawi; Mphamvu ya Covid 19 ku South Africa akuyembekezeka kukhudza chuma chamayiko akumwera kwa Africa.
Kukonzekera kwakukulu kumafunikira mwachangu kuti muchepetse ndi kuchepetsa mliri wa COVID-19 ku Southern Africa, kuphatikiza zowonjezera zowonjezera ndikuyesa kukhudzidwa kwa mabanja ndi chuma, chuma African Development Bank adatero mu Southern Economic Regional Outlook.
M'mikhalidwe yoyipa kwambiri, kukula ku Southern Africa kudzafika ku -6.6% mu 2020 asanabwezere ku 2.2% mu 2021.
Kukula kukuyembekezeredwa mpaka -4.9% pamayeso oyambira, makamaka chifukwa cha kuchepa kwachuma ku South Africa, komwe kumachitika chifukwa cha kutsika kwa mitengo yazinthu, njira zopewera, zochitika zokhudzana ndi nyengo, komanso zovuta zokhudzana ndi zofunikira pagulu. Kukula kwa dera kukuyembekezeka kukhudzidwa kwambiri ndi COVID-19.
COVID-19 isanafike, chuma chakumwera kwa Africa chidakonzedwa kuti chidzachira kuchoka pakukula kwa 0.7% mu 2019 mpaka 2.1% mu 2020. Monga zakhala zikuchitika m'mbiri, South Africa, chuma chambiri m'chigawochi, akuti akuthandizira pafupifupi 60% Zachuma zachigawo mu 2020.
Kutsatira kuphulika kwa COVID-19, kuneneratu kwakukula kwachuma kudatsika ndi magawo 7% kuchokera pazomwe adaganizira koyambirira, ndi 8.7 peresenti poyerekeza ndi zoopsa kwambiri.
Mphamvu ya COVID-19 ku South Africa ikuyembekezeredwa kuti ilowerere kumayiko ena akumwera kwa Africa.
Botswana, Eswatini, Lesotho ndi Namibia akuwoneka kuti ali pachiwopsezo chazomwe zikubwera ku South Africa pakukula kwachuma, pomwe malonda amu Mozambique ndi magetsi atha kusokonekera. Kuphatikiza apo, mayiko omwe amadalira zokopa alendo, monga Mauritius, adzasokonekera.
Komabe, mawonekedwe apanthawiyo amatengera kufalikira kwa milandu yatsopano. South Africa tsopano ndi dziko lachisanu lomwe likukhudzidwa kwambiri padziko lapansi, pomwe pali milandu pafupifupi 400,000 yotsimikizika.
Gawo lantchito, lomwe limapitilira 50% ya GDP yazachuma zambiri zamchigawo, akuti akhudzidwa ndi mliriwu, woipa chifukwa choletsedwa kuyenda, komanso kusokoneza mayendedwe, magawidwe, mahotela ndi malo odyera, zosangalatsa, kugulitsa ndi kugulitsa.
Kusiyanasiyana kwachuma, komwe kumadziwika ndi kutukuka kwazinthu zogulitsa, kudzathandizira kulimbikitsa kulimba mtima kwa derali panthawi yamavuto, lipotilo lati.
A Outlook adazindikira umphawi ndi kusalingana ngati zovuta ziwiri zomwe zimakhudza dera la Kummwera kwa Africa ndikupempha mfundo zomwe cholinga chake ndikupangitsa kuti kukula kukhale kophatikizira, kotakata komanso osauka ngati kukula kungathetse mavuto onsewa.
Poyerekeza ndi madera ena ku Africa, dera lino lili ndi anthu ambiri osowa ntchito, pafupifupi 12.5% pakati pa 2011 ndi 2019, lotsatiridwa ndi North Africa pafupifupi 11.8% munthawi yomweyo.
Ulova utha kukulirakulira, makamaka m'malo omwe akhudzidwa kwambiri monga zokopa alendo komanso kuchereza alendo, zosangalatsa, kugulitsa ndi malonda ndi ulimi, komwe anthu ambiri m'derali amapatsidwa ntchito.
Kupititsa patsogolo mpikisano wamabizinesi mderali ndikofunikira kwambiri. Dera la Africa Continental Free Trade (AfCFTA) likuyembekezeka kupereka mwayi wapakatikati komanso wanthawi yayitali pamisika yolimbikitsa kukula kwachuma. Msika wapakati pa Africa ukuyembekezeka kuchepetsa zovuta zina za COVID-19.
Bukuli lidafotokoza zakupatsidwa, komanso mwayi wopeza maphunziro ndi maluso abwino monga maziko achuma, ulemu komanso thanzi kwa anthu, ndipo zimapanga msana wazachuma. Kuti tikwaniritse kusiyanasiyana kwachuma ndikusintha kwamadongosolo azambiri zokolola, pakufunika ogwira ntchito aluso komanso osinthika, lipotilo lidalimbikitsa.
Omasulidwa chaka chilichonse kuyambira 2003, African Economic Outlook (AEO) imapereka maumboni okakamiza kuti athe kuthandiza komanso kupanga zisankho ku Africa. Kuyambira 2018, kufalitsa kwa AEO kudalumikizidwa ndikutulutsa Mauthenga asanu a Regional Economic Outlook (REO) aku Central, East, North, Southern and West Africa.
“Chaka chachitatu cha lipoti lachigawo cha Southern Africa Regional Outlook likupereka njira zabwino kwa opanga mfundo pamayiko ndi zigawo kuti athane ndi zovuta zachitukuko chachuma kudzera pakupanga maluso mtsogolo mwa anthu ogwira ntchito pambuyo pa COVID-19 , "Atero a Josephine Ngure, Executive Acting General wa Banki Yachitukuko ku Africa.
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