Msika wopsinjika umatanthauza zaka zambiri zakuvutika kwa Kumadzulo, osati Mid-East

Ndi ndalama zakunja (FDI) zomwe zikuyenda bwino ku Middle East, makamaka United Arab Emirates, chitukuko chikuchulukirachulukira. Ma FDI akuyembekezeka kulowa mu UAE kumpoto kwa $ 100 biliyoni pazaka zinayi zikubwerazi, lipoti la Barclays Wealth Insight linanena. Lipotilo linafotokoza kuti chaka chatha chokha, majekeseni ambiri a FDI adachokera ku EU ataima pa 35 peresenti ya chiwerengero, kutsatiridwa ndi mayiko a Gulf pa 26 peresenti, kenako Asia-Pacific (motsogoleredwa ndi Japan) pa 19 peresenti ndipo pamapeto pake, otsika 2 peresenti. ochokera ku America.

FDI yomwe ikuyembekezeredwa mu 2011 idzayimira 33 peresenti ya GDP ya dziko la Dubai, dziko lolemera kwambiri la Gulf.

Kuchuluka kwa ndalamazo kutengera zomwe zanenedweratu kuti mitengo yamafuta padziko lonse lapansi ikhalabe yopitilira zaka 5 zikubwerazi ndipo kuchuluka kwamafuta m'derali kukuyembekezeka kukwera.

Mwachidule, muyembekezere kuti chuma sichidzazungulira dera lina lililonse koma Middle East mpaka chaka chimodzi pambuyo pa kutha kwa zaka khumi.

Middle East ndi umodzi mwamisika yomwe ikukula mwachangu chifukwa chakukula kwachuma komanso zokopa alendo. Ma hotelo akuluakulu ali ndi ntchito zachitukuko m'derali, ndipo maunyolo akumaloko monga Rotana ndi Jumeirah akhala akupanga msika womwe mitengo ya anthu okhalamo komanso RevPar ndi yokwera kuposa yamayiko ena. Otsatsa amapindula ndi momwe zinthu zilili zolimba kwambiri, monga ku Dubai, ndipo phindu logwira ntchito ndilokwera kuposa ku US ndi ku Ulaya chifukwa cha mtengo wa ntchito ndi 35 peresenti ya mtengo wa dipatimenti m'deralo, mosiyana ndi 52 peresenti ya America, adatero PKF. Kusanthula kwa Benchmark Hotel. Ma RevPars apamwamba kwambiri amayendetsedwanso ndi kuchuluka kwa mahotela apamwamba omwe ali mgulu lazakudya.

Ku Dubai, kukhalamo kwadutsa 88 peresenti m'miyezi yapitayi. Lipotilo linanenanso kuti ndalama zomwe zisanachitikepo ndi $ 27,000 - 49 peresenti ya ndalama zomwe dipatimenti yachipinda imakhala yopindulitsa kwambiri (ntchito za dipatimenti zimawononga ndalama zosakwana 20 peresenti ya ndalama ndipo chakudya ndi zakumwa zimakhala zotsika mtengo, zomwe zimagwiritsa ntchito pafupifupi 38 peresenti ya ndalama zomwe amapeza. Chifukwa ndalama zogwirira ntchito zimayendetsedwa ndi F&B, izi zimapangitsa kuti pakhale phindu lalikulu lazinthu zapakatikati popanda F&B zoperekedwa komanso mahotela azachuma ku Mid-East, malinga ndi kusanthula kwa HotelBenchmark.

Koma kodi Middle East ifika pakuchulukirachulukira kotero kuti msika uchepe?

Misika yomwe ikukula mwachangu nthawi zonse imadutsa nthawi yomwe kugulitsa kumapita patsogolo pang'ono pakufunika kapena kugwedezeka kwapang'onopang'ono kumachitika pomwe kufunikira kumachepa kwakanthawi kochepa. "Sipanakhalepo msika womwe sunachite kuwongolera kulikonse kwa nthawi yayitali," adatero Arthur de Haast, CEO wa Global, Jones Lang LaSalle Hotels. “Zakhala zachangu kwambiri kudera kuno. Njira zogulitsira zikuyendadi m'misika inayake. Mu 2009 mpaka 2010, pamene msika wafika pachimake, ngati pakhala kufooka kwa ogula, ndipo anthu aku America samayenda kwambiri, ndiye kuti padzakhala kuwongolera.

Ku Middle East, palibe vuto lalikulu pazachuma pamsika. Pali zovuta zina chifukwa cha kuchepa kwa ngongole ku America. Nthawi zambiri, komabe pali kusowa kwa ntchito, adawonjezera de Haast.

“M’zachuma, sipanakhale Armagedo imene ena ailingalirabe. Koma zivomezi zomwe zidzachitike pambuyo pake zidzakhala zazikulu, ndipo zotsatira zake sizingadziwike. Chodabwitsachi chiyenera kulimba mtima ndi kukula kwa kukwera kwa mitengo, komanso kuti makampani onse amitundu yosiyanasiyana m'mafakitale ena ali kale ndi mphamvu zambiri, zomwe timaziwona m'makampani a magalimoto, "anatero Philip Lader, wapampando wa WPP Group ndi mlangizi wamkulu wa Morgan Stanley. .

Lader anawonjezera ngati tiyang'ana pa kuchuluka kwa mphamvu ndi zochitika za inflation, ndiye kuti mwina pali kukhazikika kwachibale ponena za kukonzanso mitengo mu chuma chenicheni chomwe sitidzachiwona m'magulu ena monga zomwe tinaziwona m'mabungwe azachuma. "Nthawi iliyonse ikafunika kubwezanso mitengo kapena kuchotsera, timawona mbiri yakale kuti sizibwera mwachangu nthawi zonse. Choncho, n’kutheka kuti m’lingaliro lapakati pa nthawiyo, tikhoza kukhala okhazikika. Koma izi sizikutanthauza kuti zikhala zazifupi. Zosokoneza mwina ndizotheka, ngati sizoposa zomwe zili, "adatero.

Mu GCC, mafuta otumizidwa kunja adzakwera ndi 12.5 peresenti chaka chamawa anawonjezera lipoti la Barclays kuti IMF inati mafuta amtundu wapachaka ochokera ku Gulf adzakhala afika $ 400 B ndipo akuyembekezeka kukwera $ 450 B chaka chamawa. Pamene kugwa kwachuma kukupweteka ku US ndipo pamene North America, Europe ndi Asia akugwidwa ndi kufinya ngongole, nkhani ya zachuma ya GCC ikupitirirabe mosadodometsedwa. Kukula kwa GDP kwa UAE kwa 2008 kukuyembekezeka kufika pa 8.3 peresenti, kukuyembekezeka kufika 11.7 peresenti ku Qatar, malinga ndi Economist Intelligence Unit. Qatar ili ndi imodzi mwazinthu zapamwamba kwambiri padziko lonse lapansi za GDP pamunthu pamtengo wopitilira $ 64,000 lero.

Pazokhudza Middle East, ndi US kukhala chaka cha zisankho, Sen. Obama adawonetsa kufunitsitsa kuchitapo kanthu pachiwopsezo chokhudza zinthu monga Middle East, adatero Lader. ” Kaya palibe maziko okwanira, ayenera kudziwa. Ndizovuta kudziwa, ”adatero Lader.