Njira zoletsa kufala kwa kachiromboka zikuchepetsa kuyenda ndi malonda padziko lonse lapansi, ndipo pakapita nthawi zingakhudze kwambiri kukula kwachuma komanso kufunikira kwamafuta padziko lonse lapansi.
Chuma cha Aarabu komanso misika yazachuma ikuyembekezeka kukhudzidwa kwambiri ngati coronavirus yomwe idapezeka ku China mu Disembala ipitilira kufalikira mwachangu.
Milandu yoyamba yotsimikizika ku Middle East idapezeka ku United Arab Emirates pa Januware 29, pomwe mamembala anayi abanja lachi China omwe adafika kutchuthi sabata yatha kuchokera ku Wuhan, mzinda womwe udayambitsa mliriwu, adapezeka ndi kachilomboka. kachilombo ka corona.
A Mohammed Al Sabban, omwe kale anali mlangizi wamkulu wa nduna ya mafuta ku Saudi, adauza The Media Line kuti nkhani za kachilomboka zidasokoneza misika yazachuma ndikuyambitsa nkhawa zamalonda padziko lonse lapansi komanso kukula kwachuma.
"Ngakhale aka sikoyamba kuti chuma cha padziko lonse chivutike chifukwa cha matenda otere, awa adayambira ku China, chuma chachiwiri pazachuma pambuyo pa United States komanso woyendetsa wamkulu wamalonda ndi zachuma padziko lonse lapansi," adatero. Al Sabban anafotokoza.
Wuhan coronavirus yadzetsa kusatsimikizika komanso chisokonezo momwe mitengo yazinthu ndi ntchito zosiyanasiyana, kuphatikiza mafuta, ikhudzidwira, adatero.
"Tidapeza kuti coronavirus itangofalikira - ndikufalikira kumayiko ena - misika yapadziko lonse lapansi idakhudzidwa ndikutsika kwambiri. Kutsika kwakukulu kunali m'misika yamafuta, popeza China ndiye wogulitsa mafuta ambiri padziko lonse lapansi, wachiwiri kwa ogula pambuyo pa United States, "adatero Al Sabban.
Ananenanso kuti kuwonongeka kwakukulu komwe kudachitika pamsika waku China, kusokonekera kwachuma komwe kukuyandikira komanso kudzipatula kwa zigawo zake zambiri padziko lapansi zakhudza kufunika kwa mafuta.
Kufuna kwamafuta aku China kudatsika ndi 20% m'masabata aposachedwa, ndipo "kupitilira kufalikira kwa kachilomboka kumatanthauza kuwonongeka kwakukulu kwamisika yapadziko lonse lapansi, makamaka msika wamafuta."
Mtengo wamafuta unagunda kwambiri kuposa chaka chimodzi pa February 3. China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (Sinopec) yochokera ku Beijing, yomwe ndi yaikulu kwambiri ku Asia, idachepetsa kupanga mwezi uno ndi migolo pafupifupi 600,000 patsiku.
A Mohammed Yasin, wamkulu waukadaulo ku Abu Dhabi Capital, adauza The Media Line kuti chifukwa chuma cha China ndichokulirapo, kufalikira kwa ma coronavirus kwadzetsa kugwa kwachuma padziko lonse lapansi, kuphatikiza pakugwiritsa ntchito komanso kutumiza kunja.
"Mitengo yamafuta yakhala yovuta," adatero Yasin.
"Brent [crude] ndi WTI [West Texas Intermediate, awiri akuluakulu BenchmarkZogula padziko lonse lapansi za] zakhala zikutsika nthawi zonse chifukwa msika ukuyembekeza kutsika kwachuma kuchokera ku China komanso kufunikira kwamafuta," adatero. "Chotero kutulutsa kwawo [ku China] mafuta kudzachepa."
Komabe, Yasin adawona msonkhano womwe unakonzedwa wa Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) pomwe akuluakulu akambirana malingaliro oti achepetse kupanga kwatsiku ndi tsiku ndi migolo ya 600,000 kuti akhazikitse misika potengera kutsika komwe kukuyembekezeredwa ku China pazaka ziwiri kapena zitatu zikubwerazi. miyezi.
"Sizinavomerezedwebe, ndichifukwa chake mitengo yamafuta idatsika mpaka $50 ya WTI ndi $54 ya Brent crude," adatero.
Yasin adalongosola kuti kufunikira kwa mafuta akatsika, chuma cha dziko lililonse chomwe chimadalira kutumiza kunja nthawi yomweyo chimabwera pansi pamavuto ndikukumana ndi kuchepa kwa bajeti.
"Zoyembekeza ndikuti kukula kwamakampani ndi kukula kwa GDP m'zachuma zimenezo kudzachepa, zomwe zidzawonetsedwe muzochita zamakampani aboma komanso kuchepa kwa misika," adatero.
"Sitikukhulupirira kuti izi ndizovuta, chifukwa zotsatira zambiri [zachuma] zomwe zanenedwa ndi za kotala yachinayi, pomwe kunalibe coronavirus," adapitilizabe. "Kutulutsidwa kwa zotsatira za kotala yoyamba ya 2020 kudzayamba mu Epulo, ndiye ngati kachilomboka kapezeka kwa milungu iwiri kapena itatu ikubwerayi, titha kulankhula za kuwonongeka kwa kotala yoyamba ndikufikira gawo lachiwiri ndi lachitatu. ”
Ngati coronavirus ipitilira kufalikira kwa milungu yopitilira atatu, Yasin alosera za kuchepa kwakukulu kwa kukula kwa GDP ku China, kutsika kuchokera pamlingo womwe ukuyembekezeredwa 6% pachaka kufika pa 5% yomwe ikuyembekezeka, ndikuchepetsanso kukula kwa GDP kwa mayiko onse omwe kudalira kutumiza mafuta ku China kapena kutumiza katundu kuchokera kumeneko.
"Zotsatira zina zomwe tili nazo kuno kudera [lachiarabu] zimakhudza mayiko omwe amadalira zokopa alendo za ku China, monga Egypt," adatero. "Ndege zopita kapena kuchokera ku China tsopano zachepa, zomwe zimakhudza ndege ndi zokopa alendo, chifukwa chake ndalama zogula. Alendo ambiri aku China akhala akuyendera derali ndikuwononga ndalama m’misika yathu.”
Mazen Irshaid, katswiri wazachuma wochokera ku Amman yemwe amalembera zofalitsa zingapo zaku Arabu, adauza The Media Line kuti ngakhale ogulitsa mafuta avulazidwa, "sizili choncho kumayiko omwe akutumiza mafuta ngati Jordan, komwe kukhudzidwa kwake kuli kosiyana kwambiri. . Amman amaitanitsa pafupifupi 90% ya zosowa zake zamagetsi; mtengo… ukutsika pamene mitengo yamafuta padziko lonse ikutsika.”
Irshaid adawonjezeranso kuti ngati kachilomboka kapitilirabe kufalikira, malonda pakati pa mayiko achiarabu ndi China avutikira, monganso misika yachiarabu yaku Arabu, zomwe pamapeto pake zithandizira kutsika kwachuma padziko lonse lapansi.
Adanenedwa koyamba: ndi Media Line
Wolemba: Dima Abumaria
Chinthu choyambirira: https://themedialine.org/by-region/coronavirus-a-blow-to-some-arab-economies-but-not-all/
ZOMWE MUNGACHITE PA NKHANIYI:
- be reflected in the performances of public companies and in a drop in equity.
- market is expecting a drop in economic activity from China and in the demand.
- when four members of a Chinese family that had arrived for a vacation a week.
