Nkhani yofufuza yomwe idasindikizidwa mu Journal of Air Transport Management idapereka zotsatira za kafukufuku wopangidwa ndi ofufuza ochokera ku Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) zokhudzana ndi chiwopsezo cha imfa chokhudzana ndi maulendo apaulendo apandege pokwera aliyense.
Zomwe zapeza zikuwonetsa kuti maulendo amasiku ano amakhala otetezeka pafupifupi nthawi 39 poyerekeza ndi masiku oyambilira a maulendo apandege chakumapeto kwa zaka za m'ma 1960.
The chitetezo chaulendo wandege zakhala zikuyenda bwino kuyambira pomwe ndege zazikulu zamalonda zidayamba, ofufuza a MIT akuti, ndi mwayi wakufa komwe kumachitika paulendo wapaulendo wamalonda kukhala m'modzi mwa anthu 350,000 okwera padziko lonse lapansi panthawi ya 1968 mpaka 1977, pomwe mosiyana, izi. Chiwopsezo chatsika kwambiri kufika pa 13,700,000 okwera pakati pa 2018 ndi 2022.
Pogwiritsa ntchito zomwe zachokera ku Flight Safety Foundation, World Bank, ndi International Air Transport Association (IATA), ofufuza a MIT adafanizira zomwe zikuchitika pachitetezo chandege ndi "kutanthauzira kwa mlengalenga kwa Chilamulo cha Moore," zoneneratu zopangidwa ndi Intel co-founder. Gordon Moore, yemwe amatsimikizira kuti kuthekera kwa ma microchips kumatha kuwirikiza kawiri miyezi 18 iliyonse. Potengera fanizoli, awonetsa kuti ndege zamtundu wa anthu zawonjezeka pafupifupi kawiri muchitetezo zaka khumi zilizonse kuyambira kumapeto kwa zaka za m'ma 1960.
Malinga ndi pulofesa wa MIT, Arnold Barnett, wotsogola wodziwika bwino pachitetezo cha ndege komanso wolemba nawo kafukufukuyu, chitetezo cha ndege chikuyenda bwino. Wina angaganize kuti pali chiopsezo chochepa chomwe sichingachepetsedwe. Komabe, mwayi wa imfa paulendo wa pandege umatsika ndi pafupifupi 7% chaka chilichonse, ndipo chiŵerengerochi chikupitirira ndi theka zaka khumi zilizonse.
Komabe, kafukufukuyu sanafufuze zomwe zimayambitsa vutoli. Barnett akuwonetsa kuti pali zinthu zingapo zomwe zimathandizira kupititsa patsogolo chitetezo cha ndege. Zomwe zathandizira kwambiri zikuphatikizapo luso laukadaulo monga njira zopewera kugundana mundege, kupita patsogolo kwa maphunziro oyendetsa ndege, komanso kuyesetsa kwa mabungwe oyang'anira kayendetsedwe ka ndege ndi mabungwe achitetezo.
Ofufuza a MIT achenjeza kuti ngakhale pakhala kupita patsogolo kwa chitetezo chaulendo wa pandege, madera ena padziko lapansi akupitilizabe kuyika chiwopsezo chachikulu pakuyendetsa ndege. Mwachindunji, kuyambira 2018 mpaka 2022, United States, ambiri ku Europe, Australia, Canada, China, Israel, Japan, ndi New Zealand adapha anthu omwe akukwera omwe anali otsika nthawi 36.5 kuposa mayiko ambiri ku Middle East, South America, ndi South Africa, kuwonjezera pa South Korea, Taiwan, Thailand, ndi Turkey.
