Phindu Likukwera ndi Kulembetsa Zopeza Zomwe Zikuyembekezeka ku Airlines mu 2024

Mu 2023, phindu la ndege zapadziko lonse lapansi likuyembekezeka kukhala bwino, ndikutsatiridwa ndi nthawi yokhazikika mu 2024. Komabe, phindu lonse lapadziko lonse lapansi likuyembekezeka kuchepa kwambiri pamtengo wamtengo wapatali m'zaka zonsezi. Zochititsa chidwi, pali kusiyana kwakukulu m'madera a zachuma.

Mu 2024, akuti makampani opanga ndege padziko lonse lapansi apanga phindu lokwana $25.7 biliyoni, zomwe zimapangitsa kuti phindu lipezeke ndi 2.7%. Uku ndikuwonjezeka pang'ono poyerekeza ndi phindu la ndalama zokwana madola 23.3 biliyoni (ndi ndalama zopezera phindu la 2.6%) mu 2023. Kwa zaka zonsezi, kubwezeredwa kwa ndalama zomwe zaperekedwa zidzagwera kumbuyo kwa mtengo wa ndalama ndi 4 peresenti, chifukwa cha kukwera kwa chiwongola dzanja padziko lonse lapansi motsogozedwa ndi kutsika kwakukulu kwa inflation.

Mu 2024, phindu lamakampani opanga ndege padziko lonse lapansi likuyembekezeka kukwera mpaka $49.3 biliyoni, kuchokera pa $40.7 biliyoni mu 2023. Zikuyembekezeka kuti ndalama zonse mu 2024 zidzafika mbiri yatsopano ya $964 biliyoni, kuwonetsa chaka ndi chaka. kukula kwa 7.6%. Kuphatikiza apo, ndalama zomwe zikuyembekezeka kukwera ndi 6.9% mpaka $914 biliyoni.

Mu 2024, chiwerengero cha apaulendo chikuyembekezeka kufika pa 4.7 biliyoni, kupitilira mliri wa 4.5 biliyoni mu 2019. Kuphatikiza apo, katundu wonyamula akuyembekezeka kufika matani 58 miliyoni mu 2023 ndikupitilira matani 61 miliyoni. 2024.

International Air Transport Association (IATA) Director General Willie Walsh amavomereza kuti phindu lamakampani opanga ndege padziko lonse lapansi lomwe likuyembekezeka kufika $25.7 biliyoni mu 2024 ndi umboni wakulimba kwa kayendetsedwe ka ndege, ngakhale kutayika kwakukulu posachedwapa. Chilakolako chosatha chakuyenda kwathandizira ndege kuti zibwerere mwachangu kumayendedwe asanachitike mliri. Kufulumira kwa kuchira kumeneku ndi kodabwitsa; komabe, zikuwonekeratu kuti mliriwu wabwezera kumbuyo kukula kwa ndege ndi pafupifupi zaka zinayi.

“Zopindulitsa m’mafakitale ziyenera kuonedwa moyenera. Ngakhale kuchirako kuli kochititsa chidwi, phindu la phindu la 2.7% ndilotsika kwambiri ndi zomwe ochita malonda pafupifupi makampani ena angavomereze. Inde, ndege zambiri zikuyenda bwino kuposa avareji, ndipo ambiri akuvutika. Koma pali china choti tiphunzire pa mfundo yakuti, pafupifupi ndege zimangosunga $ 5.45 kwa wokwera aliyense wonyamula. Zatsala pang'ono kugula 'grande latte' ku London Starbucks. Koma ndizochepa kwambiri kuti mupange tsogolo lomwe lingathe kugwedezeka pazochitika zamakampani padziko lonse lapansi zomwe 3.5% ya GDP imadalira komanso momwe anthu 3.05 miliyoni amapezera ndalama zawo. Ndege nthawi zonse zimapikisana kwambiri ndi makasitomala awo, koma amakhalabe olemedwa kwambiri ndi malamulo ovuta, kugawikana, kukwera mtengo kwa zomangamanga komanso malo ogulitsa omwe amakhala ndi oligopolies, "adatero Walsh.

Malingana ndi IATA Global Aviation Sector Outlook, ndalama mu 2024 zikuyembekezeka kukula mwachangu kuposa zowonongera (7.6% vs. 6.9%), kukulitsa phindu. Phindu logwira ntchito likuyenera kukwera ndi 21.1% ($ 40.7 biliyoni mu 2023 kufika $49.3 biliyoni mu 2024), pomwe phindu la phindu lidzakwera pang'onopang'ono 10% chifukwa cha chiwongola dzanja chokwera mu 2024.

Mu 2024, makampaniwa akuyembekezeka kupeza ndalama zokwana $964 biliyoni. Kuchuluka kwa ndege zomwe zilipo zikuyembekezekanso kukwera mpaka 40.1 miliyoni, kupitilira mulingo wa 2019 wa 38.9 miliyoni ndi ndege zomwe zikuyembekezeka 36.8 miliyoni za 2023.

Mu 2024, ndalama zoyendetsera anthu zikuyembekezeka kukwera mpaka $ 717 biliyoni, zomwe zikuwonetsa kukwera kwa 12% kuchokera pa $ 642 biliyoni yomwe idalembedwa mu 2023. Kukula kwa ma kilomita okwera (RPKs) akuyerekezedwa kukhala 9.8% poyerekeza ndi chaka chatha. Ngakhale izi zikupitilira kukula komwe kwachitika mliriwu usanachitike, 2024 ikuyembekezeka kuwonetsa kuyimitsidwa kwachiwonjezeko chachaka ndi chaka chomwe chikuwonedwa panthawi yakuchira kwa 2021-2023.

Zokolola zapaulendo zikuyembekezeka kukwera ndi 1.8% mu 2024 chifukwa cha zovuta zomwe zikupitilirabe komanso kufunikira kwakukulu kwapaulendo, komwe kumapitilira kuchuluka komwe kulipo.

Miyezo yogwira ntchito bwino ikuyembekezeka kukhalabe yokwera mu 2024, kuwonetsa kuchuluka kwazinthu komanso zofunikira. Zomwe zikuyembekezeredwa chaka chimenecho ndi 82.6%, kupitilira pang'ono chiwerengero cha 2023 (82%) ndikugwirizana ndi zomwe zidalembedwa mu 2019.

Chiyembekezochi chikuthandizidwa ndi zomwe IATA idavotera kuyambira Novembara 2023.

Mwa apaulendo omwe adafunsidwa, pafupifupi 33% adanenanso za kuchuluka kwa maulendo awo poyerekeza ndi mliri usanachitike. Pafupifupi 49% adanenanso kuti maulendo awo tsopano akufanana ndi nthawi ya mliri usanachitike. Ndi 18% yokha yomwe inanena kuti akuyenda pang'ono. Kuyang'ana m'tsogolo, zikuyembekezeredwa kuti 44% ya omwe adafunsidwa ayenda kwambiri m'miyezi yotsatira ya 12 poyerekeza ndi miyezi 12 yapitayi. 7% yokha ikuyembekeza kuchepa kwa maulendo, pamene 48% akuyembekeza kuti maulendo awo azikhala ofanana m'miyezi 12 yotsatira monga momwe analili m'miyezi 12 yapitayi.

Komabe IATA ikuchenjeza kuti ngakhale zinthu zasintha, zinthu zosiyanasiyana zitha kukhudzabe phindu lamakampani oyendetsa ndege, kubweretsa zoopsa.

Zomwe zikuchitika pazachuma padziko lonse lapansi: Zinthu zabwino zomwe zikuchitika pazachuma padziko lonse lapansi zikuphatikiza kutsika kwamitengo, kusowa kwa ntchito, komanso kufunikira kwapaulendo. Komabe, mavuto azachuma angakhalepo. Ku China, kusamalidwa mokwanira kwa kukula kwapang'onopang'ono, kusowa kwa ntchito kwa achinyamata ambiri, komanso kusakhazikika kwamisika yamalonda kungakhudze mabizinesi apadziko lonse lapansi. Momwemonso, ngati pakhala kuchepa kwa kulolerana kwa chiwongola dzanja chokwera komanso kuchuluka kwa ulova, kufunikira kwamphamvu kwa ogula komwe kwapangitsa kuti kuchira kuchepe.

Nkhondo: Nkhondo ya ku Ukraine ndi nkhondo ya Israel-Hamas makamaka yachititsa kuti maulendo abwere chifukwa cha kutsekedwa kwa ndege. Izi zapangitsa kuti mitengo yamafuta ichuluke, zomwe zakhudza ndege padziko lonse lapansi. Ngati mtendere wosayembekezeka ukachitika muzochitika zonsezi kapena zonsezi, makampani oyendetsa ndege adzalandira phindu. Komabe, kukwera kulikonse kungakhudze kwambiri chuma cha padziko lonse, ndi ndege kukhala chimodzimodzi.

Supply Chain: Malonda apadziko lonse lapansi ndi mabizinesi akupitilirabe kukhudzidwa ndi zovuta zapagulu. Oyendetsa ndege akukumana ndi zotsatira zachindunji, kuphatikizapo mavuto osayembekezereka okonzekera ndege ndi injini zina, komanso kuchedwa kulandira mbali za ndege ndi zotumizira. Nkhanizi zalepheretsa kuthekera kokulitsa mphamvu ndi kukonzanso zombo zandege.

Chiwopsezo Choyang'anira: Oyendetsa ndege atha kukumana ndi ndalama zowonjezera zokhudzana ndi kutsata malamulo, komanso ndalama zina zomwe zimayenderana ndi malamulo okhudza ufulu wa okwera, madongosolo achilengedwe a m'derali, komanso zomwe zikufunika kuti zitheke.