Kodi ndi chiyani chomwe chikuwongolera mndandanda wazowopsa za 2020?

2020 ikuwoneka kuti ikukonzekera kukhala chaka choyenda mosamala. Zowopsa zingapo zoyenda zomwe zakhala zikuchitika masiku onse ndizabwino kwambiri pokonzekera ulendo masiku ano. Kodi zoopsa zazikulu zoyenda chaka chatsopano ndiziti?

Zovuta zakusintha kwanyengo komanso chaka chomaliza chomaliza cha kayendetsedwe ka Trump ndizomwe zimayambitsa mavuto omwe amabwera chifukwa chakuyenda chaka chotsatira malinga ndi kampani yotsogola yotsogola.

1. Kusintha Kwanyengo ndi momwe zimakhudzira maulendo

Kusintha kwa nyengo kwadzetsa mvula yambiri yamkuntho, kusefukira kwamadzi, mikuntho yamkuntho, kutentha kwanthawi yayitali komanso kutentha kowonjezereka zomwe zikubweretsa kuchepa kwa madzi, chilala ndi moto wolusa wowopsa. Ndikuchulukirachulukira kwa masoka achilengedwe awa: Kuyesetsa kuthetsa kuwonongeka komwe kwachitika chifukwa cha kusintha kwa nyengo sikukwanira popeza United States, yomwe ndi yachiwiri kutulutsa mpweya waukulu, ikufuna kuchoka Pangano la Paris mu 2019 ngati Trump ipambana udindo wina.

2. Lamulo logwa padziko lonse lapansi: US 2020, Brexit, nkhondo yamalonda yaku US-China

Zotsatira za chisankho cha Brexit cha 2015 ku UK ndi chisankho cha Purezidenti wa United States (US) cha 2016 chikupitilizabe kukweza mikhalidwe yanthawi yayitali m'maiko onsewa. Zotsatira zakanthawi yayitali za zochitika zonsezi sizikudziwika pakadali pano, koma kubwerera kumalo komwe sikungachitike mdziko lililonse - mabungwe a pro-Brexit ndi pro-Trump omwe adapambana mu 2015 ndi 2016 alimbikitsa magulu azikhalidwe omwe atsalira powonekera zaka zikubwerazi. UK ikachoka ku EU, izi zithandizira kusintha kwakukulu pachuma ndipo nthawi yomweyo, mamembala a EU adzakumananso ndi mavuto azachuma kuyambira pomwe nkhondo yaku US-China idagwa chifukwa, mpaka pano, palibe aliyense wa omwe amatsutsana ndi Purezidenti Trump a Democratic adalonjeza kuti adzachotsa ndalama zoyendetsedwa ndi oyang'anira ake.

3. Zauchigawenga Zachisilamu

Uchigawenga wachisilamu ukadali pachiwopsezo kwa apaulendo mu 2020 pomwe omwe kale anali mamembala ofooka a Islamic State (IS) akufuna kuchita zankhanza pambuyo pa kumwalira kwa mtsogoleri wakale wa IS Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi pomenyedwa ndi US ku Syria ku Okutobala 2019. Omenyera wakale a IS ndi anthu omwe ali ndi chiyembekezo cha IS adzafuna kuchita nkhanza zokhazokha m'dziko lililonse okhala ndi alendo ambiri akunja.

4. Zauchifwamba-kumanja

Atsogoleri andale akumanja komanso mabungwe atolankhani apambana kutchuka ku Western world mu 2020, makamaka Purezidenti wa United States (US) a Donald Trump atakulitsa kampeni yawo posankha zisankho mu Novembala. Kuukira kofanana ndi kuwombera koopsa kwa Marichi 2019 mzikiti ndi malo achisilamu ku Christchurch, New Zealand, komanso kuwombera anthu ambiri mu Ogasiti 2019 ku El Paso, Texas, zimakhalabe zotheka makamaka ku US, pomwe magulu akumapiko akumanja amakopeka ndikukula kupezeka kwawo pandale zaku America.

5. Matenda opatsirana amafalikira pakati pa kusamukira kwakanthawi

Anthu ochulukirapo komanso ochulukirapo, kuchuluka kwamatawuni, mayankho ofooka aboma komanso kusowa kwa chithandizo chamankhwala, komanso kuzunzidwa kwa ogwira ntchito zaumoyo kumadera omwe kuli mikangano, kuphatikiza zotsatira zakusintha kwanyengo zonse zikuyambitsa matenda monga Ebola, kolera, yellow fever ndi zina Matenda ofala ndi udzudzu pafupipafupi. Mu 2019, kufalikira koopsa kwa matenda a dengue fever kunanenedwa ku Brazil, Philippines, Mexico, Nicaragua, Thailand, Malaysia ndi Colombia. Asayansi akuneneratu za 80 peresenti ya nyengo ya El Niño yomwe idzachitike mu 2020, kubweretsa mvula yoopsa kwambiri ndi chilala chotalika kumayiko ozungulira Pacific Ocean ndikukhazikitsa njira ya matenda ofalitsidwa ndi udzudzu.

6. Kutha kwa intaneti komanso kukwera mtengo kwa bizinesi

Mu 2018 ndi 2019, kuzimitsidwa kwa intaneti pofuna kuletsa kufalikira kwa ziwonetsero zotsutsana ndi boma zidawononga dziko la Sudan, Iran, Iraq, Ethiopia, Chad, India, Sri Lanka, Bangladesh, Democratic Republic of the Congo ndi Venezuela, madola mabiliyoni ambiri pachuma ntchito. Njira imeneyi ipitilizabe kufalikira mu 2020 pomwe maboma amakonda kukhala, m'malo moyankha, zosakhutira zomwe zafotokozedwa pa intaneti.

7. Ziwonetsero zotsutsana ndi machitidwe: demokalase komanso kukonda dziko lako

Mu 2019 panali ziwonetsero zazikulu zotsutsana ndi machitidwe padziko lonse lapansi, makamaka ku Latin America, madera ena aku Europe, Middle East ndi East Asia. Pamene kusakhutira kotchuka ndi maboma kukukulirakulira m'maiko ambiri chifukwa cha mavuto azachuma komanso chikhalidwe, yembekezerani kuti ziwonetserozi zikuchulukirachulukira komanso pafupipafupi mu 2020. Kuphatikiza apo, malingaliro amitundu yakhalanso akuwonjezeka ku Europe, kuwunikiridwa ndi ziwonetsero zazikulu za ufulu / Kudziyimira pawokha ku Catalonia, pomwe kuwonjezeka kwa magawo ambiri olimbana ndi ziphuphu kwalimbikitsa anthu omwe akukhala m'malo ngati Serbia, Romania, Hungary ndi Moldova. Maiko ena omwe akuyenera kuyang'anira akuphatikiza United Kingdom ngati Brexit looms.

8. MENA Geopolitics: udindo wa Russia

Kuyambira 2015, Russia idalimbikitsa kuchita nawo zankhondo komanso zachuma ku Middle East, makamaka ku Syria ndi Turkey, komanso kukulitsa ubale ndi Israeli, Lebanon, Libya, Iraq, Iran, Egypt, United Arab Emirates ndi Saudi Arabia, ku kuwononga United States (US). Russia ipitilizabe kusewera wowononga m'derali mu 2020.

9. Zochitika zamasewera apadziko lonse lapansi

Zochitika zazikulu zamasewera monga Olimpiki Achilimwe ku Japan, UEFA Euro, Copa América ku Argentina ndi Colombia komanso ma Grand Tours atatu oyendetsa njinga atha kuyika chiopsezo kwa apaulendo mu 2020. Zowopsa zomwe zingaphatikizidwe ndi uchigawenga wolimbana chifukwa cha khamu lalikulu komanso chidwi padziko lonse lapansi . Kuphatikiza apo, kusokonekera kwa maulendo apandege kudutsa ku Europe ndizothekanso ngati masewerawa atagwirizana ndi kunyanyala kwa nthawi yayitali pantchito yamalengalenga.

10. Kuperewera kwa madzi

Mafunde otentha akachulukirachulukira komanso kutalika, zionetsero zakusowa kwa madzi zikuyenera kuchulukirachulukira mu 2020, makamaka m'maiko opanikizika ndi madzi monga India ndi Pakistan, komanso m'maiko aku Middle East ngati Iran, Iraq ndi Lebanon. Mikangano yachiwawa pamadzi omwe akusowa kwambiri komanso malo achitetezo angayembekezeredwe m'maiko ngati Mali ndi Nigeria pakati pa alimi ndi abusa, pomwe kusakhutira pagulu kukuyenera kufikiranso m'matumba akusowa kwamadzi kwambiri kumadera osatukuka a Italy ndi Spain komanso US mayiko a New Mexico ndi California.

izi zoopsa zaulendo yolembedwa ndi gulu lapadziko lonse lapansi la Riskline ofufuza za mayendedwe omwe amayang'anira ndikuwunika zovuta tsiku lililonse.