Malingaliro abwino aku Africa: Ziwerengero zaposachedwa za 2018

Kampani ina ya katswiri yochereza alendo ya ku Africa inanena mwachidule za anthu asanu amene achita bwino kwambiri m’mizinda 13 ya mu Africa mu theka loyamba la chaka cha 2018 monga momwe STR Global inasonyezera, kampani yomwe imapereka ziwerengero za data ya mahotelo, analytics ndi zidziwitso zamisika.

Kukula kwa malo

Lagos ndi Accra adapitiliza kutsogolera mizinda 13 yaku Africa yomwe idawunikidwa pakukula kwa anthu. Apa, kuyambiranso kwachuma komanso kukwera kwamitengo yamafuta kumalimbikitsa kufunikira kwa bizinesi ndikukulitsa kukula. Chiwerengero cha anthu okhala ku Lagos ndi Accra tsopano chikuposa 50% ndi 60% motsatana.

Gaborone yawonetsa kusintha kwakukulu kuyambira kumapeto kwa chaka cha 2017, pomwe mzindawu udawonetsa kuchepa kwa -6% kwa anthu ambiri. Pano, kusintha kwachuma kwawona kuti chiwerengero cha anthu chikukula ndi 4.3% kwa miyezi 6 yoyambirira ya chaka, pamene Addis Ababa yatsatira ndondomeko yofanana ndi 1.9% ya kukula.

Umhlanga wa ku South Africa nawonso wakula pang'ono ndi 1.1% ngakhale kuti zipinda 200 zidalowa pamsika mu 2017/2018.

Kukhala pansi

Ku Namibia, Windhoek idatsika kwambiri pakuchuluka kwa anthu m'miyezi isanu ndi umodzi yoyambirira ya 2018. Kutsika kwachuma mu 2017 komanso kuchepa kwa 0.8% mchaka cha 2018 kukupitilizabe kukulitsa kuchuluka kwa mahotela.

Chiwerengero cha anthu ku Lusaka chapitilira kutsika kwa miyezi isanu ndi umodzi yoyambirira ya chaka ngakhale kuti zipinda zidachepa chifukwa chokonzanso phiko la hotelo ya Intercontinental.

Ku South Africa, kusakhazikika kwachuma ndi ndale kwaposachedwa komanso kuchuluka kwa umbanda zikusokoneza anthu m'mizinda ikuluikulu. Izi zikukulitsidwa ndi kupezeka kwatsopano, pomwe Cape Town ndi yomwe idakhudzidwa kwambiri makamaka chifukwa cha zipinda 1000+ zomwe zidalowa pamsika mu 2017 kuphatikiza ndi kuchepa kwa kufunikira koyendetsedwa ndi vuto lalikulu la madzi mu City. Pretoria idawona kuwonjezeka kwa zipinda zopitilira 400 mu theka loyamba la chaka, zomwe, mogwirizana ndi chuma chamakampani, zakhudzanso kukula kwa anthu.

Avereji yamitengo yatsiku ndi tsiku (USD) - Kukula

Pamodzi ndi kukwera kwa anthu ku Gaborone (4.3%), ADR idakweranso ndi 17.2% pamitengo ya US Dollar. Kukula uku kukuwoneka kuti kumayendetsedwa makamaka ndi msika wamabizinesi, womwe ukukulanso pamene chuma chikukwera.

Ku South Africa, kukula ku Pretoria, Durban ndi Cape Town (11.1%, 6.5% ndi 7.3%) kumagwirizana makamaka ndi kuyamikira kwa rand. Komabe, m’mawu a komweko ADR ku Cape Town yatsika ndi -1.3% pamene Durban ndi Pretoria zikukula ndi 0.2 ndi 4.4% motsatira. Kugwirizana kwamphamvu pakati pa Namibian Dollar ndi Rand kukutanthauza kuti kuwonjezereka kwa Windhoek kwa ADR (mu ndalama zakumaloko) pa 1.2% kumakhudzana kwambiri ndi ndalama.

Avereji yamitengo yatsiku ndi tsiku (USD) - Yatsika

Ku Addis Ababa ndi Lagos, mitengo ya tsiku ndi tsiku (ya -10.7% ndi -7.6% m'mawu a US Dollar motsatira) idakhudzidwa kwambiri ndi kusinthasintha kwa ndalama. M'mawu amderalo ADR idakwera m'mizindayi ndi 7.5% ndi 5.3% motsatana.

Kuchuluka kwa zinthu ku Nairobi ndi Accra kudakhudza ADR kutsika mu USD ndi ndalama zakomweko. Makamaka, Nairobi idawona kukula kwa Zipinda Zomwe Zilipo ndi 10.8% pa YTD June 2018, zomwe zidapangitsa kuti pakhale kupanikizika kwa USD ndi ndalama zakomweko (-8.5% mu KES). Ngakhale STR siyikulemba kuchuluka kwa zinthu zomwe zimaperekedwa ku Accra YTD June 2018, kutsegulidwa kwa hotelo ya Marriott mu Epulo 2018 kudzakhala kukakamiza mitengo yamsika, yomwe idatsika ndi 1.9% mu ndalama zakomweko. Kufuna kochita makontrakitala ku Dar es Salaam, makamaka chifukwa cha kusatsimikizika pazandale ndi zachuma, kukupangitsanso kuti mitengo itsike (-2.8% TZS).

Zipinda zogulitsidwa ndi Zipinda zilipo - Kukula

Kubwerera kwachuma ku Nigeria kukupitilizabe kufunikira kwa hotelo ndi zipinda zogulitsidwa ku Lagos zikuwonjezeka ndi 10.2%.

Nairobi yawonanso kuchuluka kwa kuchuluka kwa kufunikira ndikuwonjezeka kwa 10.1% m'zipinda zomwe zidagulitsidwa zomwe zikuwonetsa kupitilirabe msika. Kukula kunatsagana ndi kuwonjezeka kwa 10.8% kwa zipinda zomwe zilipo ndi kutsegulidwa kwa Hilton Garden Inn Jomo Kenyatta ndi Movenpick Hotel and Residences pakati pa ena.

Kufuna ku Accra kukupitilira kukula, motsogozedwa kwambiri ndi gawo lamafuta, pomwe Umhlanga ndi Gaborone awonetsanso momwe akufunira komanso kukula kwachuma.

Zipinda zogulitsidwa ndi Zipinda zilipo - Zochepa

Mikhalidwe yazachuma ku Namibia ndi South Africa ikuvutitsa kwambiri momwe mahotela amagwirira ntchito. Pa -13%, Windhoek idatsika kwambiri pakufunidwa.

Ngakhale kuchepa kwa zipinda, monga tafotokozera kale, kufunikira ku Lusaka kunachepanso pakati pa mikhalidwe yosatsimikizika yandale ndi zachuma.

Zotsatira zavuto lamadzi ndi mikhalidwe yachuma ku South Africa zidapangitsa kuchepa kwa zipinda zogulitsidwa ku Cape Town node (- 6.1%). Kufuna ku Pretoria (-3.4%) ndi Durban (-2.2%) kukuwoneka kuti kwatsika chifukwa cha kusatsimikizika kwandale ndi zachuma.

Zamtsogolo

Pakhala kusintha pang'ono pazakudya zatsopano zomwe zakonzedwa m'misika yayikulu yolandirira alendo kuyambira kumapeto kwa chaka cha 2017 kochitidwa ndi HTI Consulting.

Nairobi, Lagos, Addis Ababa ndi Accra akadali misika yapamwamba kwambiri potengera zinthu zatsopano zomwe zakonzedwa ndipo kukula kwazinthu izi kuyenera kukakamiza omwe akupikisana nawo pamsika. Komabe, potengera zomwe zachitika ku Africa m'zaka zapitazi, gawo lokhalo la njira zogulitsira zam'tsogolo zomwe zakwaniritsidwa monga momwe zinakonzedwera, kuchedwa kwa ntchito ndi kusiyidwa kwa projekiti kumakhala kofala.

Komabe ndizolimbikitsa kudziwa kuti Nairobi, Lagos ndi Accra akukumana ndi kukula kwakukulu malinga ndi zipinda zogulitsidwa zomwe zimapereka mwayi woti zinthu zatsopano zilowe mwachangu. Mwachitsanzo kukula kwa zipinda zogulitsidwa ku Nairobi YTD June 2018 (10.1%) kunali kochepa chabe pakukula kwa 10.8%. Lagos ikuyembekezekanso kupitilizabe kukula m'zipinda zomwe zimagulitsidwa pomwe msika ukuyambanso kuchepa kwachuma komwe kumayenera kuthandizira kutengera zinthu zatsopano.

Malo a Umhlanga akuyembekezeka kukwera zipinda pafupifupi 400 pakanthawi kochepa. Ngakhale kukula kwa kufunikira kwakhala kolimba m'malo awa, kuchepa kwachuma komanso zisankho zomwe zikubwera ku South Africa zikuyembekezeka kukhudza kufunikira kwa mahotela padziko lonse lapansi. Kupereka kwatsopano kutha kudalira momwe msika ukuyendera zisankho mu 2019.

• Kukula Kwambiri 

Lagos

• Lagos akadali okwera kwambiri omwe amakhala ndi anthu okhalamo komanso kukula kwa zipinda usiku komwe kumakwera kwambiri
• Ngakhale kuti ADR idakali pansi pa USD, kukula kwa ADR mu ndalama zakomweko kudachitika;
• Maonekedwe azachuma akukhala abwino kwambiri potengera kukwera kwa mtengo wamafuta komwe kudzakhala ndi zotsatirapo zake pakuchita bwino kwa mahotela.

Mwayi Waukulu Kwambiri 

Accra

• Accra ikadali mwayi wamphamvu wopezera ndalama chifukwa cha mphamvu zake zachuma komanso kusintha kwakukulu komwe kumachitika pamsika kwakanthawi kochepa.
• Zatsopano zikulandidwa mwachangu pomwe kufunikira kukukulirakulira chaka ndi chaka
• Ma projekiti omwe ali m'malo olimba m'malo ofunikira akuyang'ana kuti abweretse zabwino
• Pitirizani Kupenya

Umhlanga

• Kukhalapo kwamphamvu komanso kukula kofunikira
• Kupezeka kwamtsogolo kungathe kufewetsa msika koma zitha kutengeka mwachangu zisankho

Cape Town

• Pambuyo pa mvula yabwino yaposachedwa komanso madamu omwe ali pamlingo wa 70%, Cape Town ikuyembekezeka kupindula ndi kuchuluka kwakukula kofunikira mu nyengo ikubwerayi.
• Mapeto a chaka cha 2018 akuyembekezeka kukhala ochepera mu 2017  -ndipo 2019 akuyembekezeka kuchita bwino kwambiri kumapeto kwa chaka cha XNUMX

Victoria Falls

• Ngakhale sizinayimidwe mokwanira ndi STR, kafukufuku waposachedwa ndi HTI Consulting ku Victoria Falls akuwonetsa kuti msika ukuyenda bwino.
• Kukhala, ADR ndi zipinda zogulitsidwa zili panjira yabwino pomwe ogwiritsira ntchito ambiri akufunafuna mwayi wachitukuko kuti apindule ndi kusintha kwa msika.