Zolemba: Abwana a IATA a De Juniacs adalankhula ndi Vuto la Infrastructure Kuti Muteteze Tsogolo la Aviation

Mtsogoleri Wamkulu wa IATA ndi CEO Alexandre de Juniac anapereka nkhani yaikulu ku Singapore Airshow Aviation Leadership Summit (SAALS). Mutu wa Summit ndi 'Kuganiziranso Tsogolo la Ndege'.

Msonkhano wa Singapore Airshow Aviation Leadership Summit umakonzedwa ndi IATA, Unduna wa Zoyendetsa ku Singapore, Civil Aviation Authority yaku Singapore, ndi Experia Events.

Bungwe la International Air Transport Association (IATA) pamwambowo likupempha kuti achitepo kanthu mwachangu kuthana ndi zovuta za zomangamanga kuti ateteze tsogolo lamakampani.

Zolemba za Mr. De Juniacs adilesi:

Ndizosangalatsa kukhala pano ku Singapore Airshow. Chiwonetserochi ndi chikumbutso chachikulu chaukadaulo wodabwitsa womwe umapatsa mphamvu makampani oyendetsa ndege kuti agwirizane ndi dziko lapansi. Ndipo Msonkhano wa Utsogoleri wa Aviation uwu umapereka mwayi wapadera wowona zovuta ndi mwayi womwe makampani a ndege akukumana nawo-mabizinesi omwe amagwiritsa ntchito teknoloji imeneyo.

Mutu wa msonkhano uno ndi Kuganiziranso Tsogolo la Aviation. Ndipo ndikofunikira kuti tikuyang'ana tsogolo limodzi - makampani ndi maboma. Kaya tsogolo la ndege lingakhale lotani, ndili ndi chidaliro kuti kupambana kwake popereka kulumikizana komwe kumapangitsa chuma chamakono nthawi zonse kumadalira mgwirizano wamphamvu wamakampani ndi maboma omwe akugwira ntchito bwino limodzi.

Ndilibe mpira wonyezimira kapena chidziwitso chapadera pazomwe mawa adzabweretse paulendo wandege. Koma, choyamba, ndili ndi chidaliro chonse kuti ndege zidzapitiriza kubweretsa phindu lalikulu kudziko lathu lapansi. Monga mafakitale tangopitirira zaka 100. Ndipo m’kanthawi kochepa ka ndege kameneka kakhala chinthu chofunika kwambiri pa chuma cha padziko lonse komanso pa anthu.

Chaka chino apaulendo opitilira 4 biliyoni akuyembekezeka kukwera ndege. Ndege zomwezo zidzanyamula pafupifupi gawo limodzi mwa magawo atatu a mtengo wamtengo wapatali wa katundu wogulitsidwa padziko lonse lapansi. Moyo wa anthu pafupifupi 60 miliyoni umagwirizana mwachindunji ndi zokopa alendo zokhudzana ndi ndege. Ndipo pafupifupi aliyense padziko lapansi amakhudzidwa mwanjira ina ndi gulu lapadziko lonse lapansi lomwe ndege zathandizira komanso mwayi wokulitsa chuma ndi chitukuko chomwe ndege zikupitiliza kupanga. Ndimatcha ndege bizinesi yaufulu. Zimapangitsa dziko lathu kukhala malo abwinoko. Ndipo ife—mafakitale ndi maboma—tili ndi udindo woonetsetsa kuti phindu la ndege zipitirire kulemeretsa dziko lathu lapansi.

Kuti tichite zimenezi, pali mfundo zisanu zofunika kuziteteza.

• Choyamba, ndege ziyenera kukhala zotetezeka. Tinali ndi chaka chabwino kwambiri mu 2017. Koma nthawi zonse pali njira zowonjezera-makamaka pamene mphamvu zathu zowunikira deta zikukula. Ndikufuna kulingalira za tsogolo la ndege popanda ngozi.

• Chachiwiri, ndege zimafuna malire otseguka kwa anthu ndi malonda. Tiyenera kukhala mawu amphamvu pamaso pa omwe ali ndi zolinga zoteteza. Msika wa ASEAN single aviation ndi chitukuko chofunikira chomwe chimatsutsana ndi nkhani yoteteza. Idzafalitsa phindu la kulumikizana mozama kudera lonselo. Ndipo phindu lidzawonjezeka ngati maboma apita patsogolo ndi kugwirizanitsa malamulo kuti ntchito kudera lonselo zikhale zogwira mtima komanso zopanda malire. Ndipo ndikufuna kulingalira za tsogolo la ndege zomwe ndege zimakhala zaulere momwe zingathere kuti zigwirizane ndi zofunikira zolumikizirana.
• Chachitatu, kayendetsedwe ka ndege kamayenda bwino padziko lonse lapansi. Malamulo ambiri amathandizira kuti makampani oyendetsa ndege achite bwino - m'chilichonse kuyambira chitetezo mpaka tikiti. Ndipo ndikufuna kulingalira za tsogolo lomwe miyezo yapadziko lonse ikupitiriza kulimbikitsidwa ndi mgwirizano wa ndege ndi maboma kudzera m'mabungwe monga ICAO ndi IATA.
• Chachinayi, ndege ziyenera kukhala zokhazikika. Mgwirizano wa mbiri yakale wa Carbon Offsetting and Reduction Scheme for International Aviation (CORSIA) ndi imodzi mwa mizati inayi mu njira imodzi yamakampani ndi maboma kuwonetsetsa kuti ndege ikukwaniritsa udindowu. Ndipo tikupitilizabe kupita patsogolo ndi matekinoloje atsopano, ntchito zotsogola komanso zomangamanga zogwira ntchito bwino. Kudzipereka kwathu kuti tichepetse mpweya wotulutsa mpweya kufika theka la magawo a 2005 pofika 2050 ndikofuna kwambiri. Ndipo ndikufuna kulingalira za tsogolo lomwe mphamvu yathu ya carbon idzakhala ziro.
• Ndipo potsiriza, ndege iyenera kukhala yopindulitsa. Ndege zikuyenda bwino kuposa nthawi ina iliyonse m'mbiri yawo. Tili m'chaka chachisanu ndi chinayi cha phindu kuyambira 2010. Ndipo, chofunika kwambiri, ichi chidzakhala chaka chachinayi chotsatizana chomwe malipiro a ndege adzadutsa mtengo wawo wamtengo wapatali-mwa kuyankhula kwina phindu lachibadwa. Phindu loyembekezeredwa la $ 38.4 biliyoni mu 2018 limatanthawuza $ 8.90 pa munthu aliyense. Ndiko kusintha kwakukulu pamachitidwe am'mbuyomu. Ndipo makampani oyendetsa ndege adzipanga kukhala olimba kwambiri pazachuma chifukwa cha kusintha kwakukulu. Koma akadali chitetezo chochepa kwambiri polimbana ndi zowopsa. Ndipo ndikufuna kulingalira za tsogolo lomwe ndege zopanga phindu lazonse ndizokhazikika, osati zosowa!

Kuphatikiza pa zikhazikitso zisanu izi, ndikukhulupirira kuti pali chotsimikizika chimodzi chachikulu. Ludzu lapadziko lonse lofuna kulumikizana lipitilira kukula. Ndipo Asia-Pacific ndiye likulu la kukula kumeneku. Pofika 2036 tikuyembekeza kuti anthu 7.8 biliyoni aziyenda padziko lonse lapansi. Pafupifupi theka—maulendo pafupifupi 3.5 biliyoni—adzakhala opita, kuchokera kapena mkati mwa dera la Asia-Pacific. Ndipo maulendo 1.5 biliyoni adzakhudza China. Pofika chaka cha 2022 China ikhala msika waukulu kwambiri wandege. India ndi nyumba ina yomwe ikubwera, ngakhale itenga nthawi yayitali kuti ikule.

Chifukwa chake palibe malo abwinoko kuposa Singapore — pamphambano zachikoka cha India ndi China — kukambirana za tsogolo la mafakitale athu.

Zokambirana zamasiku ano zikuchita bwino kuyang'ana mafunso ofunikira omwe ali patsogolo pathu. Ndi matekinoloje ati atsopano a ndege omwe ali m'chizimezime? Ndi mitundu yanji yamabizinesi yomwe ipambana? Kodi kuthekera kwa ndege zopanda munthu ndi kotani? Ndipo funso lalikulu ndi momwe mungayendetsere malonda ndikutsegula phindu lomwe lingapange. Ndiroleni ndigawane malingaliro apamwamba pa chilichonse.

Next Generation of Aircraft Technologies

From my perspective, the sweet spot for new technology is where sustainability, efficiency, cost and safety meet. Our friends at Airbus and Boeing see the need for between 35,000 and 41,000 new aircraft purchases over the next 20 years. That equals estimated spending of about $6 trillion. Airlines will certainly be expecting value for that money.

Kwa ine, ndikuwona mbali ziwiri zazikulu zomwe ndingathe kukhala patsogolo pa ndege yoyendetsedwa ndi magetsi komanso kuti ndege zizikhala zanzeru pang'onopang'ono. Sindidzaneneratu kuti tidzawona ndege zonyamula anthu zosayendetsa posachedwa. Koma tonse tikudziwa kuti teknoloji ilipo-ndizowona kale muzochitika zankhondo. Ndipo tifunikanso kuganizira za anthu omwe tingafunike pamene teknoloji ikupita patsogolo.

Zitsanzo Zamalonda

The airline business itself is also evolving—very fast. It was not that many years ago that people were discussing if the low cost model could work in Asia. Air Asia is the pioneer in Southeast Asia. And it essentially began in 2001. Today, the low cost sector accounts for 54% of the Southeast Asia market. The next frontier is low-cost long-haul. To be very frank, it is doing much better than I would have thought. There is indeed a part of the market for whom price is the biggest driver.  Catering to that on long-haul operations may well prove as successful as it has been for short-haul.

Zomwe zimatchedwa zonyamula cholowa zikusinthanso. Pali zochepa kwambiri mubizinesi zomwe sizinasinthe kuyambira 2001. Kusintha kwaukadaulo ndi njira zatsopano zapangitsa kuti okwera azitha bwino ndikuchepetsa ndalama zambiri pabizinesi. Ganizirani za ulendo wanu. Kodi pali aliyense amene amakumbukira nthawi yomaliza yomwe adayenda ndi tikiti yapepala? Kodi mungalingalire ulendo popanda kulozera ku pulogalamu yomwe mumakonda yandege kapena kuthekera kosankha mpando wanu pasadakhale? Izi ndi nsonga zakusintha kwa digito komwe kukupitilizabe kusintha bizinesi yomwe idakhazikitsidwa kale. Ndipo ndine wonyadira kunena kuti miyezo yapadziko lonse ya IATA ikuthandizira kwambiri.

Ndiye chotsatira ndi chiyani? Kusintha kwakukulu ndi deta. Ndege zimadziwa makasitomala awo kwambiri masiku ano kuposa momwe amachitira zaka khumi zapitazo. IATA's New Distribution Capability ithandiza makampani opanga ndege kupanga zatsopano, kupanga zosankha zazikulu komanso zotsatsa zamunthu. Makasitomala atha kukhala otsimikiza kuti ndege zidzapikisana mwamphamvu kwambiri kuti akhale okhulupirika - ena ndi zotsika mtengo, ena ndi zogulira zamtengo wapatali komanso zambiri zapakati. Ndipo tonse tidzakhala ndi chidwi chofuna kumvetsetsa momwe zokambirana zathu zimawonera zochitika zamtsogolo.

Mwayi Wandege Wopanda anthu

Even less predictable is the future of unmanned aircraft. Outside of their potential use for traditional passenger or cargo operations, there is no doubt that drones are flying disrupters. I am sure that we would all think it is very “cool” to have your next take-out meal delivered by a drone. Will they replace taxis, security companies or ambulances in urban settings? What are the privacy implications? How will we control the airspace? And how can we keep them at a safe distance from commercial aircraft? These are among the weighty questions for our panel to explore.

Kuwongolera Kutsegula Mtengo wa Aviation

Before we get into these very interesting future discussions, our day will begin with a look at some fundamental questions of regulation. This expert panel will give great insight on how regulation will evolve to manage the exciting potential developments in aviation’s future.

Ngakhale pali zovuta zotani, ndikukhulupirira kuti gululi liganizira zomwe timatcha Smarter Regulation. Mfundo yoyamba yaulamuliro wanzeru ndi zokambirana zamakampani ndi boma zomwe zimayang'ana kwambiri kuthetsa mavuto enieni. Pamene msonkhano wathu udapangidwa kuti ubweretse owongolera ndi makampani pazokambirana, tayamba kale bwino. Ndipo pamene tikuyang'ana zam'tsogolo, kuwonetsetsa kuti malamulowo akugwirizana ndi miyezo yapadziko lonse lapansi, amafufuza mozama za phindu la mtengo, ndi kukwaniritsa zotsatira zazikulu ndi zolemetsa zochepa zotsatila ndizo mfundo zolimba zomwe zimatitsogolera.

Vuto la Infrastructure

Before we move on to the panel discussions, there is one more point that I feel is key to our industry’s future. That is having the infrastructure to grow. All the great plane deals that will be done at this air show will mean nothing if we don’t have the capability to manage the traffic in the air and the airports at each end of the journey. Infrastructure is vital to our industry’s future.

Pankhani ya zomangamanga, zofunikira za ndege sizovuta. Timafunikira mphamvu zokwanira kuti zigwirizane ndi zosowa. Ubwino uyenera kugwirizana ndi zosowa zathu zaukadaulo ndi zamalonda. Ndipo mtengo wa zomangamanga uyenera kukhala wotsika mtengo.

Ndikukhulupirira, komabe, kuti tikupita kumavuto. Choyamba, zomangamanga sizikumangidwa mwachangu kuti zikwaniritse zomwe zikukula. Ndipo pali zodetsa nkhawa zomwe zikuchulukirachulukira. Chimodzi mwa izi ndi kubisa zabwalo la ndege. Tikuyembekezerabe kuwona kubizinesi kwa bwalo la ndege komwe, m'kupita kwanthawi, kumapereka phindu lolonjezedwa. Zili choncho chifukwa sitinapeze ndondomeko yoyenera yoyendetsera ntchitoyi. Iyenera kulinganiza mosamalitsa zofuna za osunga ndalama kuti apindule ndi chidwi cha anthu kuti bwalo la ndege likhale chothandizira kukula kwachuma.

Mamembala athu akhumudwa kwambiri ndi momwe ma eyapoti abizinesi alili pano. Mwanjira zonse pemphani akatswiri amakampani kuti abweretse njira zamalonda komanso kuyang'ana kwamakasitomala pakuwongolera ndege. Koma maganizo athu ndi oti umwiniwo uyenera kusiyidwa m’manja mwa anthu.

Monga madera onse adziko lapansi, Asia-Pacific ili ndi zovuta zake. Tikufuna kuwona dongosolo la Asia-Pacific Seamless Air Traffic Management Plan likupita patsogolo mwachangu kwambiri—kupewa tsoka lomwe tikukhala ndi thambo logawika la ku Europe. Ndipo mizinda ina yayikulu m'derali - Jakarta, Bangkok ndi Manila pakati pawo - ikufunika kwambiri kuwongolera luso.

Mwamwayi Asia-Pacific ilinso ndi zitsanzo zabwino zoti muzitsatira. Onani pa eyapoti ya Seoul's Incheon. Amapereka chithandizo chabwino kwa oyendetsa ndege ndi okwera. Ndipo posachedwapa yakulitsa njira yothamangitsira ndege ndi ma terminal kuti akwaniritse zomwe zikukula. Chofunika kwambiri, izi zachitika popanda kudzutsa milandu. M'malo mwake, Incheon posachedwapa yawonjezera kuchotsera pamitengo ya eyapoti yomwe idayambitsidwa zaka ziwiri zapitazo. Chotsatira? Mayendedwe a ndege amatenga gawo lalikulu pakulumikiza chuma cha Korea ndi mwayi wazachuma padziko lonse lapansi.

Singapore ndi chitsanzo china chabwino cha malo apamwamba padziko lonse omwe akuthandizira kwambiri kutukuka kwa dziko lino. Boma likuwonetseratu zam'tsogolo ndi mapulani ake okulitsa bwalo la ndege la Changi, kuphatikiza T5. Imeneyi ndi ntchito yaikulu kwambiri, yofanana ndi kumanga bwalo la ndege latsopano limodzi ndi eyapoti yomwe ilipo kale. Sindikukayika kuti izi zidzasindikiza utsogoleri wa Singapore pa ndege kwa zaka zikubwerazi. Koma pali mavuto. Mapulani a T5 ayenera kukhala olimba mokwanira kuti awonetsetse kuti kayendetsedwe ka ndege ndi kosavuta kwa anthu omwe amagwiritsa ntchito Changi amayembekezera. Ndipo tiyenera kupeza chitsanzo chandalama kuti tipewe kulemetsa makampani ndi ndalama zowonjezera. Mphotho yoyenera kuyang'anitsitsa ndikuthandizira kwa eyapoti pachuma chonse. Tikachita bwino, ndi ndalama zomwe zimakhala ndi mbiri yolipira zopindulitsa zazikulu.

Kutsiliza

With that, I will bring my remarks to a close. As co-host of this event with the Singapore Ministry of Transport, the Civil Aviation Authority of Singapore and Experia Events, I thank you all for your participation today. The partnership between government and industry is probably the most critical factor influencing aviation’s future. I look forward to a great day of discussions that will make aviation—the business of freedom—an even greater catalyst of prosperity and social development.