Pansi pa zolosera zomwe zasinthidwa kumene kuchokera ku Pacific Asia Travel Association(PATA), zomwe zikuyembekezeka kuti alendo ochokera kumayiko ena abwere ndi kudutsa Asia Pacific mu 2020 ndikuti ziwerengero za alendo zitha kutsika ndi 32% pachaka. Poganizira zovuta za mliri wa COVID-19, kuchuluka kwa omwe akufika tsopano akuyembekezeka kutsika mpaka 500 miliyoni chaka chino.

Izi zimatengera kuti kuchuluka kwa alendo kubwezeredwa komaliza mu 2012. Pakadali pano, kukula kukuyembekezeka kuyambiranso mu 2021, kubwereranso pazomwe zanenedweratu pofika chaka cha 2023. Zachidziwikire, zimatengera momwe mliri wa COVID-19 wapezeka mwachangu komanso kwathunthu. ndi kulamulidwa. Zomwe zili ndi chiyembekezo zikuwonetsa kuti ofika akutsikabe mu 2020 koma pofika 16% chaka ndi chaka pomwe nkhani yopanda chiyembekezo ikuneneratu kuchepetsedwa pafupifupi 44%.

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Zotsatirazi zikuyembekezeka kukhala zowopsa kwambiri ku Asia, makamaka kumpoto chakum'mawa kwa Asia, komwe kukuyembekezeka kutaya pafupifupi 51% ya alendo ake pakati pa 2019 ndi 2020 (mwinamwake), kutsatiridwa ndi South Asia ndi kutsika kwa 31%, ndi ndiye Southeast Asia ndi 22% kutsika kwa alendo obwera. Kumadzulo kwa Asia akuyembekezeredwa kutaya pafupifupi 18 peresenti mwa alendo odzafika, kutsatiridwa ndi Pacific ndi 12% yomwe ikuyembekezeka, ndi America ndi kutaya pang'ono pansi pa XNUMX%.

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Mitengo yochira yokhudzana ndi 2019 ikuyembekezeka kuchitika m'magawo/magawo ambiri mu 2020, komabe, kumpoto chakum'mawa kwa Asia kukuyembekezeka kutengera nthawi yayitali ndikupitilira kuchuluka kwa 2019 kwa omwe akufika mu 2022.

Zomwezo ndizowonanso pama risiti oyendera alendo komanso akuyembekezeka kutsika ndi 27% pakati pa 2019 ndi 2020 malinga ndi zomwe zingachitike, kutsika mpaka US $ 594 biliyoni, pansi pa zomwe zidanenedweratu mu 2020 za US $ 811 biliyoni.

Asia ikuyembekezeka kutaya ndalama zoposa US $ 170 biliyoni (-36%), pomwe Northeast Asia idanenedweratu kuti idzataya ndalama zoposa US $ 123 biliyoni (-48%) pazimenezi, kutsatiridwa ndi South Asia ndi kutayika kwa US $ 13.3 biliyoni (- 33%) ndi Southeast Asia ndi kuchepa kwa US $ 34.6 biliyoni (-20%). Mayiko aku America akuyembekezeka kutaya ndalama zoposa US $ 35 biliyoni (-13%) ndi Pacific US $ 18 biliyoni (-18%).

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Pano, kuchira pamlingo wapachaka kukuyembekezeka kubwereranso mwachangu kumadera ambiri / madera, mwina Pacific ikutenga nthawi yayitali kuti ibwerere ku milingo ya 2019.

Mtsogoleri wamkulu wa PATA Dr. Mario Hardy adanenanso kuti, "Ili ndi vuto loyamba la anthu lomwe likudziwikiratu, lomwe lataya miyoyo ya anthu ndi mamiliyoni ena, kutaya ndalama pamene mabizinesi atsekedwa, ndipo ambiri amakhala odzipatula kapena amatsatira chikhalidwe cha anthu. mayendedwe akutali. Titha kungoyembekeza kuti mliriwu ulamuliridwa mwachangu komanso moyenera, zomwe zipangitsa kuti makampani oyendayenda padziko lonse lapansi abwererenso, kulemberanso ntchito mamiliyoni a anthu omwe adataya maudindo awo ndikupanga mwayi wowonjezereka wa ntchito mwachindunji komanso mwachindunji. kumadera akumtunda ndi kunsi kwa mtsinje omwe amadalira”.

"Ngakhale kuchepeka kwa omwe akufika, padakali kuchuluka kwa alendo omwe akuyembekezeka ku Asia Pacific mpaka 2020, pomwe apaulendo ochepera theka la biliyoni akupangabe pafupifupi US $ 600 biliyoni, mlendo aliyense amafunikirabe komanso kuyembekezera chidwi. ndi ntchito zomwe dera lino latchuka popereka," adawonjezera. "Komabe, malingaliro ndi ovuta kusintha kotero kuti kuchira kungatenge nthawi yayitali m'maganizo mwa ambiri omwe akuyenda. Izi komabe zimatipatsa nthawi yoti tilingalirenso udindo womwe tidapanga mpaka 2019; ngati manambala abwerera pang'onopang'ono, chofunikira chodziwikiratu chidzakhala kupatsa apaulendo chilimbikitso chotero kuti akhalebe komwe akupitako ndikuwona zambiri zomwe angapereke. Chifukwa chake ma metric akuyenera kuchoka pa manambala a ofika, kupita ku nthawi yomwe akupita kumalo amodzi ndi kumwazikana modutsa pamenepo. Malisiti akatero adzatsatira.”

ZOMWE MUNGACHITE PA NKHANIYI:

The impacts are expected to be most severe in Asia, especially Northeast Asia, which is now predicted to lose almost 51% of its visitor volume between 2019 and 2020 (most likely scenario), followed by South Asia with a reduction of 31%, and then Southeast Asia with a 22% drop in visitor arrivals.
We can only hope that this pandemic is brought under absolute control quickly and effectively, enabling the global travel and tourism industry to get back on its feet, re-employ the millions of people who lost their positions and create even more employment opportunities both directly and for the upstream and downstream sectors that rely on it”.
West Asia is projected to lose almost six percent in visitor arrivals, followed by the Pacific with a projected contraction of 18%, and the Americas with a loss of a little under 12%.