Liwu limodzi limatanthawuza Brexit ndi kuthekera kwa maulalo a Britain ndi mayiko ena akangochoka ku European Union - chisokonezo. Palibe amene akudziwa bwino zomwe zimachitika pazochitika zosiyanasiyana - Brexit yolimba, Brexit yofewa, kapena palibe mgwirizano.
Katswiri wazachuma Lord Desai sananene mosabisa mawu pamsonkhano wa anthu onse kuti kusakonzekera kwa boma la Britain kunali kodabwitsa. Iye wati boma silidadziwe chochita ngati voti yatsutsana ndi Remain. Palibe amene adavomereza kuti mgwirizano wamalonda waufulu ndi chiyani kapena kumveketsa bwino kuti zimatenga nthawi yayitali kukambirana mapanganowa. Malingaliro awa adanenedwanso pamsonkhano womwewo ku London, wokonzedwa ndi Democracy Forum, ndi katswiri wina wazachuma, Linda Yueh. Iye anali ndi fanizo losangalatsa. Anati kuti Britain iyambe kukambirana zamalonda ndi dziko lina pamene idakali mbali ya EU zinali ngati kukambirana za ukwati wanu wina mudakali ndi mkazi wanu wakale.
Mayiko omwe akukula mwachangu ali ku Asia ndi Britain amagulitsa zambiri kumayiko akunja kuposa EU. Chifukwa chake, ndizomveka kuti UK iyang'ane mwayi ku Asia womwe udzakhala ndi ogula apakati ndipo mayiko onse adzayenera kupita ku Asia nthawi ina. Chomwe chimapangitsa kuti dziko la Britain likhale lachiwiri lalikulu kwambiri padziko lonse lapansi, mapangano ambiri samakhudza ntchito. Palinso kukayikira ngati India angafune thandizo lazamalamulo ku UK. Akatswiri akuchenjeza kuti dziko la Britain siliyenera kuganiza kuti chifukwa likufuna kutumiza ntchito kunja kwa mayiko ena adzawalandira.
Ndiye, chimachitika ndi chiyani tsiku lotsatira Britain itachoka ku EU pa Marichi 29, 2019? Otsalira akuwonetsa chiyembekezo chowoneka bwino chakukula kwa malonda padziko lonse lapansi. Komabe, ngati munthu ayang'ana pazochita, pali zopinga zambiri patsogolo. Dziko la Britain silidzakhalanso ndi mgwirizano wamalonda waulere ndi EU, choncho idzafunika kugwira ntchito motsatira malamulo a WTO. Kusinthaku sikukhala kophweka chifukwa mamembala onse 160 kuphatikiza a WTO adzafunsidwa kusaina mapangano aliwonse. Ngati UK ikusankha chitsanzo cha Norway iyenera kuvomereza kuyenda kwaufulu kwa anthu - ndipo ichi chinali chimodzi mwa zifukwa zazikulu zomwe zinayendetsa kampeni ya voti ya Brexit; otsatira ambiri anali kutsutsa mwamphamvu kusamuka, makamaka ochokera ku Ulaya.
Zokambirana za tsogolo la Brexit ndizovuta kwambiri boma lidaulula kuti likhala lilemba anthu opitilira 8,000 kuphatikiza maloya ndi ogwira ntchito m'boma kumapeto kwa chaka chamawa pomwe lidawulula zokonzekera zochoka ku EU popanda mgwirizano.
Mtsogoleri wamkulu wa Brexiteer komanso MP wa Conservative Jacob Rees-Mogg adavomereza kuti zingatenge zaka 50 kuti adziwe bwino za momwe Brexit imakhudzira chuma cha Britain. Mlembi wa Brexit a Dominic Raab adayambitsa chenjezo pomwe adavomereza kuti boma liyenera kuchitapo kanthu kuti liwonetsetse kuti pali chakudya chokwanira kuti Britain ikwaniritse zomwe zatsala pang'ono kuchoka ku European Union.
Potengera izi, a Brexiteers akulankhula za mwayi woti Britain iwonjezere malonda ndi mayiko omwe si a EU nthawi yopuma ikayamba. Onse a India ndi UK alankhula mwachidwi za kuthekera kokulitsa maulalo Brexit ikayamba kugwira ntchito. Nthumwi zoyendera kuchokera ku Confederation of Indian Industry, zitakumana ndi anzawo aku Britain ndi nduna zaboma, zidati pali mwayi watsopano woti awunikenso, India ndi UK akuyimira mayiko awiri otsogola padziko lonse lapansi. Komabe, iwo anachenjeza kuti kusamveketsa bwino kumalepheretsa kupita patsogolo. Uthenga waukulu wopita ku UK kuchokera kwa atsogoleri abizinesi aku India unali wosamveka: "Muyenera kupanga malingaliro anu zomwe mukufuna kuchita. Uwu ndi moyo weniweni womwe munthu ayenera kupitiriza nawo. Kuzindikira zenizeni kungatithandize kwambiri. Uwu ndi mwayi wapadera kwa mbali zonse ziwiri.”
Dr. David Landsman, Mtsogoleri Wamkulu wa gulu la Tata ndi Mpando wa CII-UK, adalongosola magawo angapo omwe akutsegulira mgwirizano wa India-UK. Mbali imodzi yofunika kwambiri ndi luso lamakono. India akufuna ogwira ntchito aluso kuchokera ku mayunivesite apamwamba. Iye adazindikira mafakitale ochereza alendo, magalimoto ndi mainjiniya ngati madera ena omwe akuyenera kupita patsogolo. Ananenanso kuti India ndi UK akuyenera kuwonetsa m'njira zamakono zomwe angapatsane. Ngakhale kuti panali mipata yambiri, Dr. Landsman adavomereza kuti kuwonjezereka kukhoza kukwera malinga ndi chitsanzo cha Brexit.
Pali mgwirizano waukulu pakati pa atsogoleri abizinesi aku India pa kuthekera kwakukulu komwe kukuyembekezeka kulumikizidwa ndi kukula kwa manambala awiri ku India komanso chiyembekezo choti posachedwapa ipambana China ngati chuma chotsogola padziko lonse lapansi. Komabe, amalozera ku vuto limodzi lomwe lidakali chopinga chachikulu - zovuta zomwe Amwenye amakumana nazo popeza ma visa opita ku UK. Iwo adadandaula kuti ophunzira aku India, makamaka, sakupeza bwino. Zinanenedweratu kuti mantha oti ophunzira aku India atayimitsa ma visa awo analibe chifukwa choti panali umboni wakuti 95% ya ophunzira aku India amabwerera kwawo akamaliza maphunziro awo.
Purezidenti wa CII, Bambo Rakesh Bharti Mittal, akuwonetsa kuthekera kwa India kulimbikitsanso maulalo azachuma ndi malonda ndi mayiko ena a Commonwealth, makamaka ku Africa. India ndiye chuma chachikulu kwambiri mu Commonwealth chomwe chikuyimira chipika chachikulu chamalonda. Pamodzi ndi anthu ena amalonda, Bambo Mittal akufunitsitsa kuti India azichita mbali yaikulu mu Commonwealth.
Kukhalapo kwa Prime Minister waku India, Narendra Modi, pamsonkhano wa Atsogoleri a Boma la Commonwealth ku UK mu Epulo kunkawoneka ngati chizindikiro cha chidwi cha India ku bungwe la mamembala 53. Richard Burge, Chief Executive of the Commonwealth Enterprise and Investment Council, akuti "Kiyi yopangira bwino kutumiza kunja ndikukhala ndi otumiza kunja ndi mabizinesi. Chiwopsezo ku UK ndikuti patatha zaka makumi akugulitsa ku EU (monga msika wapakhomo) amalonda ambiri aku Britain atha kutaya chidwi komanso chidwi chofuna kuyika pachiwopsezo chomwe kutumizira kunja kumafuna. Koma nkhani yabwino ndiyakuti Commonwealth tsopano ndi gulu lazachuma zomwe zikuchulukirachulukira komanso zomwe zikuchulukirachulukira kutengera ma demokalase amphamvu komanso okhazikika omwe UK ikuyenera kukhala nawo mgwirizano wachilengedwe ”.
Pali kufananitsa kosalephereka pakati pa njira za India ndi China padziko lonse lapansi. Othirira ndemanga pazachuma ku India akuwoneka ngati abwino poyerekeza ndi aku China, omwe akuwoneka kuti akulowerera kwambiri madera olamulira. Dongosolo la China la $62 biliyoni lomanga zomangamanga ku Pakistan limawonedwa ndi ena ngati kusokoneza ulamuliro wake. Mofananamo, Sri Lanka adabwereka mabiliyoni a madola kuchokera ku China kuti apange ntchito zazikulu. Otsutsa akuwopa kuti Sri Lanka sangathe kubweza ngongolezi zomwe zimalola China kulamulira ntchito zofunika kwambiri za zomangamangazi, ndikuwapatsa mwayi wokhala m'dzikoli.
Kwa India, EU, ndi Britain ngati membala, ikupereka zotsutsana ndi ulamuliro wa China ku Asia. Funso lovuta ndilakuti ngati Britain ikadawonedwabe ndi India ngati bwenzi lofunika pazachuma palokha kunja kwa EU. Chifukwa chiyani India ingafune kukambirana mapangano osiyana ndi Britain ikangochoka ku EU pomwe malinga ndi dongosolo lino ili ndi mwayi wofikira maiko onse 27 omwe ali mamembala? Pakadali pano, India akuwoneka kuti ali wokonzeka kufufuza mwayi wopeza ndalama ndi malonda ndi Britain ikachoka ku EU. Komabe, kuleza mtima kwake kungathe kutha ngati chisokonezocho chikapitilirabe pa nthawi yeniyeni yomwe Britain idachoka ku Europe. Lingaliro la India ndilakuti, tsopano anthu aku Britain avota, Britain ikuyenera tsopano kupitiliza kuzolowera tsogolo lakunja kwa European Union. Zachidziwikire, pali mwayi winanso, Brexit sangawonekere konse. Chotero, pamene kuli mkangano wosalekeza ndi zongoyerekezera, chisokonezo chimalamulira mopambanitsa.
