Pofika Khrisimasi Makampani oyendetsa ndege aku Australia akuyenera kubwerera 60%.

Pofika Khrisimasi Makampani oyendetsa ndege aku Australia akuyenera kubwerera 60%.
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Kutengera kusanthula kwa zomwe boma likunena, zomwe ndege zikuyembekezeka, komanso zomwe zikufunidwa kwambiri, kuyambiranso kwapang'onopang'ono, pang'onopang'ono kwa mpweya wapanyumba ku Australia kudutsa nthawi yotsala ya 2020. Kufikira 37% ya voliyumu ya chaka chatha pofika koyambirira kwa Julayi, Prime Minister Scott Morrison zidachitira chithunzi kubwerera kumayendedwe apakati paboma pansi pa dongosolo la magawo atatu la Boma la Federal kuti lichepetse ziletso za coronavirus. Dongosololi, lopangidwa kuti litsitsimutse chuma chapakhomo, limasiya nthawi yokhazikitsanso maulendo opita kumayiko. CAPA ikufuna kuti ntchito zapakhomo zifike pa 49% ya 2019 pofika tchuthi cha Okutobala ndi 60% pofika pakati pa Disembala 2020.

'Airline Capacity Model' ya APA yatsopano yapangidwa kuti ipatse makampani oyendetsa ndege ndi maulendo ndi chiwongolero champhamvu cha kuthekera kwamtsogolo kwa mpweya wokhazikika mu:

  • Deta yeniyeni yeniyeni ya mphamvu, yochokera ku ndondomeko ya OAG ndi ndondomeko ya ndege mu database ya CAPA Fleet;
  • Zosankha ndi zolengeza za Prime Minister ndi Boma Premier pa zoletsa kuyenda ndi kulengeza malire;
  • Kuwunika kwa CAPA, kutengera malipoti anthawi yeniyeni komanso makina apadera atsiku ndi tsiku omwe amasonkhanitsa nkhani zopitilira 300 tsiku lililonse:
    • Mapulani oyendetsa ndege ndi mitengo;
    • Kufunitsitsa kwa anthu ndi chizolowezi chowuluka;
    • Kukhazikitsidwa kwa miyezo yokhazikika pazaukhondo m'ndege ndi ma eyapoti;
    • 'Kukula koyenera' kwa ndege kuti zigwirizane ndi zofunikira.
  • Zoyerekeza za kuchuluka kwa ndege zimasinthidwa munthawi yeniyeni, pomwe zochitika zazikulu zikuchitika.

Kubweranso kotsogozedwa ndi katundu m'miyezi itatu ikubwerayi pomwe ndege zimayesa anthu kuti abwerere mlengalenga ndi mitengo yotsika pomwe akugogomezera zachitetezo chaumoyo ndi chitetezo. Pamene kufunikira kukumanganso, kupereka (kuthekera ndi maukonde anjira) kudzasinthidwa kuti ziwonjezeke zokolola ndipo msika ubwereranso bwino. CAPA idzayang'anira zosintha zamakampani ndikusintha Model nthawi zonse.

 Wapampando wa Emeritus, Peter Harbison adati:

"Australia ndi amodzi mwa mayiko omwe ali m'malo abwino padziko lonse lapansi kupondereza funde loyamba la matenda a COVID-19. Izi zikapitilira ndikupewa kufalikira kwachiwiri, msika waku Australia waku Australia utha kuwona zizindikiro zina zamoyo pofika pakati pa chaka komanso kusintha kwa Khrisimasi. Komabe, sitikuyembekezera kuwona milingo ya 2019 yowuluka m'nyumba ikufikiranso chaka chino. Mayiko adzamenyedwa kwambiri ndipo zitha kutenga zaka zingapo kuti achire. Komabe, izi zikhala zopindulitsa msika wapakhomo - mwinanso kutengera ntchito za Trans Tasman ”.

Misika yapadziko lonse lapansi ndiyokayikitsa kuti iyambiranso ndipo CAPA Airline Capacity Model ikuwona kuchuluka kwa mpweya wapadziko lonse (nambala za mipando) kutsika ndi 92% pachaka mu Julayi, -86% mu Okutobala, ndi -85% mu Disembala. Kuthekera kwa Trans Tasman 'bubble' ndi New Zealand kudasinthidwa kukhala CAPA Model kuyambira Ogasiti, ndi kulumikizana ku Pacific Islands mu nthawi yatchuthi cha Khrisimasi/Chaka Chatsopano.

Chitsanzocho chimagwiritsa ntchito zochitika zotsatirazi zoyambitsanso mphamvu ya mpweya. Ndi njira yolumikizirana, yochokera ku Excel yomwe imalola ogwiritsa ntchito kuwona malingaliro ozungulira kuyambiranso kuyenda m'misika yapanyumba (boma) ndi misika yapadziko lonse lapansi, kuti apange chithunzi chonse.

Kungoyambanso kutengera mphamvu

Phase dzina Kuthekera (% of 'Normal' = 2019) Kufotokozera/Zongoganizira
1 Zero/Zokhazikika 0% Kuletsa kuyenda komwe kumapangitsa kuti ndege zonse ziziyenda pansi
2 mafupa 5% Makampani oyendetsa ndege akupereka maukonde ofunikira a 'chigoba' kaya mwa kufuna kwawo kapena mothandizidwa ndi boma/boma, mwachitsanzo:

  • Ulendo wadzidzidzi
  • Kubwezeredwa kwa nzika zakunja
3 Kuyambiranso Kwamalonda A - 'Kuletsedwa Kwambiri' 25% Oyendetsa ndege akuyambiranso ntchito zamalonda za 'Acutely Restricted', mwachitsanzo kuti athandize:

  • Ulendo wamabizinesi wofunikira kwambiri
  • Acute VFR
4 Kuyambiranso Kwamalonda B - 'Basic' 50% Ndege zikugwira ntchito zamalonda za 'Basic', mwachitsanzo:

  • Kupanga kwa Maulendo a Bizinesi
  • Ulendo wolimbikitsidwa wa VFR/Wophunzira
  • Zolimbikitsa kwambiri Zosangalatsa kuyenda
5 Kuyambiranso Kwamalonda C - 'Kukakamizidwa' 75% Ndege zikugwira ntchito zamalonda 'zoletsedwa', mwachitsanzo kuti zithandizire:

  • Maulendo owonjezera a Bizinesi
  • Maulendo owonjezera a VFR/Ophunzira
  • Ulendo Wosangalatsa Wolimbikitsidwa
6 Kuyambiranso Kwamalonda D - 'Standard' 100% Ndege zikugwira ntchito za 'Standard' kapena zamalonda zokhazikika, mwachitsanzo, zokhazikika:

  • Maulendo Okhazikika a Bizinesi
  • VFR/Kuyenda kwa ophunzira
  • Ulendo wopuma

 

ZOMWE MUNGACHITE PA NKHANIYI:

  • It is an interactive, excel-based model that allows users to then view the assumptions around the resumption of travel in domestic (state-based) and international markets, to build the overall capacity picture.
  • International markets are unlikely to recover and the CAPA Airline Capacity Model sees international air capacity (seat numbers) still down by 92% year-on-year in July, -86% in October, and -85% in December.
  • Based on a combination of analysis of government statements, airline projections, and underlying demand projects a slow, phased recovery in domestic air capacity in Australia through the remainder of 2020.

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Wachinyamata T Steinmetz

Juergen Thomas Steinmetz wakhala akugwirabe ntchito zapaulendo komanso zokopa alendo kuyambira ali wachinyamata ku Germany (1977).
Iye adayambitsa eTurboNews mu 1999 ngati nkhani yoyamba yapaintaneti yantchito zapaulendo padziko lonse lapansi.

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