Ngakhale kuti madera ena a ku India analandira mvula yamkuntho mu June chifukwa cha mvula yamkuntho, El Niño idzayambiranso, kuchititsa kuti monsoon afooke, kumtunda kwa Indian Ocean ndi Southeast Asia.
M'nyengo yamvula yamkuntho, kutentha kumachuluka patsogolo pa zochitikazo, kenako mvula yambiri, mvula yamkuntho ndi nyengo zotentha zimabweretsa mvula yamkuntho ndi India yozizira ndi madera ambiri ozungulira Southeastern Asia.
El Niño ndi gawo lofunda la kusinthasintha kwa kutentha kwa pamwamba pa nyanja kumadera otentha a Pacific Ocean komwe kumakonda kubweretsa mvula yamkuntho ku Pacific Ocean. Kukhazikika kwachilengedwe kumachepetsa zochitika zam'madera otentha motero kumachepetsa mvula kumtunda kwa nyanja ya Indian Ocean.
Chovuta chodziwiratu komanso chosadziwika bwino, chotchedwa Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) chinapangitsa kuti monsoon ikhale yolimba kwakanthawi. Kuzungulira uku ndi kakomedwe ka mvula ndi mabingu omwe amakonda kusamuka kuchokera kumadzulo kupita kummawa kuzungulira madera a equatorial padziko lapansi.
Malinga ndi katswiri wazanyengo wa AccuWeather, Jason Nicholls, "M'mwezi wa June, kugunda kwa MJO kudasunthira kum'mawa kwa dera la Indian Ocean ndikukhalitsa."
"Mvula inali 16 peresenti kuposa momwe India yonse inaliri mu June chifukwa cha mgwirizano wa El Niño ndi MJO," adatero AccuWeather Meteorologist Eric Leister.
Kukula kwa dera lachilala kudzakhala kochepa, poyerekeza ndi kusanthula koyambirira. Mvula yamphamvu m'madera ena mu June idzachepetsa zotsatira za mvula yochepa yomwe ikupita patsogolo.
Kungoganiza kuti kugunda sikubwereranso m'derali mpaka m'dzinja, El Niño ndi kutentha kwa madzi otsika kuchokera ku Somalia kupita ku Nyanja ya Arabia kudzachepetsa kufika kwa monsoon kapena kuchepetsa zotsatira zake kuchokera kumadzulo kwa India kupyolera m'madera ambiri a Pakistan mu July ndi August.
Mbali ina ya derali imayang'anira kuchuluka kwa mbewu zambewu komanso ulimi wonse. Masiku ambiri kutentha koopsa kumakhala m'derali.
"Ngakhale kuti nthawi zambiri za nyengo ya chilimwe ku Asia zimakhala zosasinthika kuphatikizapo mvula yamkuntho, tikuyembekeza mvula yambiri kuposa momwe timaganizira kale kuchokera ku Central India, kuphatikizapo Madhya Pradesh, kupita ku Odisha, India," adatero Nicholls.
M'derali, mkuntho winanso ukhoza kuchitika.
Mvula yofooka chifukwa cha zotsatira za El Niño idzachititsa kuti mvula yambiri ichepe kuchokera ku Bhutan ndi kum'mwera kwa Tibet kupita kumadera a kumpoto kwa Laos ndi Vietnam, komanso kum'mwera chapakati pa China.
Kumwera chakumwera ku Indochina, mikhalidwe yowuma pano idzakhala mvula ngati nthawi yotentha. Komabe kum'mwera kwa Thailand, Malaysia, Singapore ndi Indonesia kudzakhala kouma kwambiri chifukwa cha chilala kapena kukuipiraipira.
"Ngakhale kugunda kwina kunachitika m'derali kumapeto kwa chilimwe kapena nthawi yophukira, zitha kukhala mochedwa kwambiri kuti musinthe chilala ku Pakistan ndi kumpoto chakumadzulo kwa India," adatero Nicholls.
Monsoon yofooka imatha kukhudza kwambiri kutentha m'derali.
Pamene mphepo yamkuntho imakhala yamphamvu, m’pamenenso mpweyawo ukukwera ndi kuzizira kwambiri m’dera lake. Nthawi yomweyo kunja kwa monsoon wamphamvu, mpweya ukumira ndikutentha kwambiri.
"Ndi mphepo yamkuntho yofooka, madera omwe ali mkati mwake amakhala otentha, pamene madera omwe ali pafupi ndi kunja kwake adzakhala akutentha kwambiri chifukwa cha chilala cha nyumbayo, mwina osati kwambiri," adatero Nichols.
Padzakhala kuyenda kwa mpweya wonyowa kudera lalikulu, zomwe zimatsogolera ku mphepo yamkuntho yamawanga, komanso zomwe zimapangitsa kuti AccuWeather RealFeel® Temperatures ikhale yokwera kwambiri, kufika 100 F kapena kupitirira masiku ambiri.
Mvula yamkuntho yamphamvu imene inachitika m’mwezi wa June, inathandiza kuyambitsa kutentha kwakukulu mu June ku Pakistan ndi m’madera ena a India.
