IATA: Air Cargo Demand Recovery Ikupitiriza

Ziwerengero zamisika yapadziko lonse ya Julayi 2023 zonyamula katundu wapadziko lonse lapansi, zotulutsidwa ndi International Air Transport Association (IATA), zikuwonetsa kupitilirabe kukula kwamitengo kuyambira February.

Kufunika kwa katundu wa ndege pa July kunali 0.8% kuchepera chaka chatha. Ngakhale kufunikira tsopano kuli kochepa poyerekeza ndi 2022, uku ndikusintha kwa magwiridwe antchito a miyezi yaposachedwa komwe kuli kofunikira makamaka chifukwa cha kuchepa kwa malonda padziko lonse lapansi komanso kukwera kwa nkhawa pazachuma cha China.

• Zofuna zapadziko lonse lapansi, zoyezedwa mu cargo ton-kilometers (CTKs), zotsatiridwa pa 0.8% pansi pa milingo ya July 2022 (-0.4% ya ntchito zapadziko lonse). Uku kunali kusintha kwakukulu kuposa momwe mwezi wapitawo (-3.4%).

• Mphamvu, zoyezedwa mu cargo ton-kilometers (ACTKs), zidakwera 11.2% poyerekeza ndi July 2022 (8% pa ntchito zapadziko lonse). Kukwera kwakukulu mu ACTKs kumawonetsa kukula kwa mimba (29.3% pachaka) chifukwa cha nyengo yachilimwe.

• Zinthu zingapo zogwirira ntchito ziyenera kuzindikirika:

• Mu Julayi, zonse zomwe amapanga Purchasing Managers Index kapena PMI (49.0) ndi maoda atsopano a PMI (46.4) anali pansi pamlingo wofunikira womwe ukuimiridwa ndi chizindikiro cha 50, zomwe zikuwonetsa kuchepa kwa kupanga padziko lonse lapansi ndi kutumiza kunja.

• Malonda apadziko lonse lapansi adachita mgwirizano kwa mwezi wachitatu motsatizana mu Juni, kutsika ndi 2.5% pachaka, kuwonetsa kuzizira komwe kukufunika komanso zovuta zazachuma. Kusiyana pakati pa kukula kwapachaka kwa katundu wa ndege ndi malonda a katundu wapadziko lonse kunatsika mpaka -0.8 peresenti mu June. Ngakhale kukula kwa katundu wa ndege kukucheperachepera malonda padziko lonse lapansi, kusiyana kwake ndi kochepa kwambiri kuyambira Januware 2022.

• M'mwezi wa Julayi, nthawi ya PMI yopereka othandizira padziko lonse lapansi inali 51.9, zomwe zikuwonetsa kuchedwa kochepa. Zachuma zonse zazikulu, kupatula China, zinali ndi PMI pamwamba pa 50. US, Europe, ndi Japan analemba PMIs ya 54.2, 57.7, ndi 50.4, motsatira.

• Kutsika kwa mitengo kunawona chithunzi chosakanikirana mu July, ndi kuwonjezeka kwa mitengo ya ogula ku US kukukwera mofulumira kwa nthawi yoyamba mu miyezi 13. Pakadali pano, ku China, mitengo ya ogula ndi opanga idatsika, zomwe zikuwonetsa kutsika kwachuma.

"Poyerekeza ndi Julayi 2022, kufunikira kwa katundu wandege kunali kosalala. Poganizira kuti tinali 3.4% pansi pa 2022 mu June, ndiye kusintha kwakukulu. Ndipo ikupitilira njira yolimbikitsira yomwe idayamba mu February. Momwe izi zidzasinthire m'miyezi ikubwerayi ndiyenera kuyang'anitsitsa mosamala. Zinthu zambiri zomwe zimayendetsa kufunikira kwa katundu wa ndege, monga kuchuluka kwa malonda ndi malamulo otumiza kunja, zimakhalabe zofooka kapena zikuipiraipira. Ndipo pali nkhawa zomwe zikuchulukirachulukira momwe chuma cha China chikukulirakulira. Panthawi imodzimodziyo, tikuwona nthawi yofupikitsa yobweretsera, yomwe nthawi zambiri imakhala chizindikiro cha kuwonjezeka kwachuma. Pakati pa zizindikiro zosakanizika izi, kulimbikitsa kufunikira kumatipatsa chifukwa chokhalira ndi chiyembekezo, "atero a Willie Walsh, Mtsogoleri Wamkulu wa IATA.

Kuchita Zachigawo kwa Julayi

• Ndege za ku Asia-Pacific zinawona kuti katundu wawo wa ndege akuwonjezeka ndi 2.7% mu July 2023 poyerekeza ndi mwezi womwewo wa 2022. Uku kunali kusintha kwakukulu mu ntchito poyerekeza ndi June (-3.3%). Onyamula m'derali adapindula ndi kukula panjira zazikulu zitatu zamalonda: Europe-Asia (kukula kwa 3.2% pachaka), Middle East-Asia (kuchokera ku 1.8% mu June mpaka 6.6% mu July), ndi Africa-Asia ( kubwerera ku kukula kwa manambala awiri a 10.3% pachaka kuchokera ku -4.8% mu June). Kuphatikiza apo, njira zamalonda zapakati pa Asia zidachitanso bwino kwambiri mu Julayi, ndi kuchepa kwapachaka kwa ma CTK apadziko lonse lapansi pa 7.5% poyerekeza ndi kuchepa kwa manambala awiri komwe kunachitika kuyambira Seputembala 2022. monga kuchuluka kwa mimba kunabwera pa intaneti kuchokera kumbali ya okwera bizinesi.

• Onyamula katundu ku North America adatumiza zofooka kwambiri m'madera onse, ndi kuchepa kwa 5.2% kwa katundu wonyamula katundu mu July 2023 poyerekeza ndi mwezi womwewo wa 2022, zomwe zikuwonetsa mwezi wachisanu wotsatizana umene derali linali ndi machitidwe ofooka kwambiri. Komabe, kunali kusintha pang'ono poyerekeza ndi June (-5.9%). Njira yodutsa nyanja yamchere pakati pa North America ndi Europe idawona kuchuluka kwa anthu akutsika ndi 4.3% mu Julayi, 1.2 peresenti yoyipa kuposa mwezi watha. Kuthekera kudakwera 0.5% poyerekeza ndi Julayi 2022.

• Onyamula katundu ku Ulaya adawona kuti katundu wawo wa ndege akutsika ndi 1.5% mu July poyerekeza ndi mwezi womwewo wa 2022. Izi zinali, komabe, kusintha kwa ntchito motsutsana ndi June (-3.2%). Ma voliyumu adakhudzidwa chifukwa cha machitidwe omwe tawatchulawa ku Europe-North America komanso kutsika kwapakati ku Middle East-Europe (-1.2%) ndi misika yamkati mwa Europe (-5.1%). Kuthekera kudakwera 5.3% mu Julayi 2023 poyerekeza ndi Julayi 2022.

• Onyamula katundu a ku Middle East adakwera ndi 1.5% chaka ndi chaka mu Julayi 2023. Izi zinalinso kusintha kwa magwiridwe antchito a mwezi wapitawo (0.6%). Kufunika kwa njira za Middle East-Asia kwakhala kukukwera m'miyezi iwiri yapitayi. Kuthekera kudakwera 17.1% poyerekeza ndi Julayi 2022.

• Onyamula katundu aku Latin America adatumiza kuchuluka kwa katundu wa 0.4% poyerekeza ndi Julayi 2022. Uku kunali kutsika kwa magwiridwe antchito poyerekeza ndi mwezi wapitawo (2.2%). Mphamvu mu Julayi zidakwera 10.0% poyerekeza ndi mwezi womwewo mu 2022.

• Ndege za ku Africa zinachita bwino kwambiri mu July 2023, ndi kuwonjezeka kwa 2.9% kwa katundu wonyamula katundu kuyerekeza ndi July 2022. Zodziwika bwino, misewu ya Africa-Asia inakula kwambiri (10.3%). Kuthekera kunali 11.0% kuposa milingo ya Julayi 2022.